Henry2326
Member
For August 30th.....
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Tropical 2021 hurricane season thread
- Thread starter Myfrotho704_
- Start date
Brent
Member
I wouldn't be surprised if we see a lemon soon if trends continue.
Brent
Member
Not much of a lull. Ida and Julian are next
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over the western
Caribbean Sea late this week. Environmental conditions are expected
to be favorable for gradual development of this system thereafter
while it moves west-northwestward over the northwestern Caribbean
Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over the western
Caribbean Sea late this week. Environmental conditions are expected
to be favorable for gradual development of this system thereafter
while it moves west-northwestward over the northwestern Caribbean
Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Brent
Member
A tropical wave located over the eastern Caribbean Sea is expected
to form a broad area of low pressure over the southwestern Caribbean
Sea by late week. Thereafter, environmental conditions are forecast
to become favorable for gradual development while the system moves
west-northwestward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
to form a broad area of low pressure over the southwestern Caribbean
Sea by late week. Thereafter, environmental conditions are forecast
to become favorable for gradual development while the system moves
west-northwestward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Truly so much for quieter after Henri but all of these for now look to be nonthreatening
Brent
Member
The Caribbean one bears watching but I agree on the other two
Brent
Member
Yeah the euro has been unreliable but looking at the ensembles the idea of a Texas strike isn't unrealistic
Anything from Mexico to Texas is on the table for that storm.
lexxnchloe
Member
Henry2326
Member
Geez.....12z GFS.......so many opportunities and so little time.....
Brent
Member
It's definitely only a matter of time til there's a big threat
Cadi40
Member
I wonder how this current/upcoming steering pattern will affect the SE coast during peak season. Hopefully storms will have enough wiggle room to escape quietly out to sea.
Last edited:
BHS1975
Member
This would be problematic.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
It looks like we’re setting up the pattern the Webb and others have been talking about evolving all summer. A pattern that blocks off the OTS path and steers storms into the SE coast.