The rumblings are beginning .. hurricane season is about to get roaring
And just like that there all back on 12 hours later… I wouldn’t get caught up from run to run discrepancies.. we have three separate systems in the MDR that have promise and spin to them .. ICON brings a hurricane on our doorstep in just 5 days time .. don’t let the models fool you .. the tropics have a mind of their own
I think this one will be Invest 93L soon.A small but well-defined area of low pressure located over the
tropical Atlantic about a thousand miles west of the Cabo Verde
Islands continues to produce limited shower activity. Environmental
conditions are expected to become a little more favorable for
gradual development over the next several days, and this system
could become a tropical depression by the middle of next week.
The system is forecast to drift toward the west-southwest or west
during the next couple of days, and then move a little faster
toward the west-northwest early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
Reminds me of January 2000Well I think everyone will enjoy the 00z Gfs
they are both incorporating sheer, upper air currents and a path of least resistance ... now let's see what really happens ...Both 12z GFS and 12z Euro like that east coast ride.