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Misc 2021-22 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

You sure that's snow?? Looks like someone needs to pick up some trash!
It actually is, haha. I found some more in another shaded spot in some mulch, but didn’t take a photo. I mean, it’s basically ice at this point given how much it’s refrozen, though!
 
Happy birthday morning to me from the iconView attachment 111170
Here’s a belated birthday gift from the GFS
gfs_asnow24_seus_33.png
 
Can smell the fireplace wood smoke indoors from the poor air quality outside (PM2.5 index well over 100). You’d think in the year of our Lord 2022, people would have caught on to more efficient ways to heat their houses around these parts, like a nice roaring furnace central HVAC.

93CFF8D4-29C9-4662-A69B-7B46670641E0.png
 
Sickens me to see everyone east and west of Hendersonville get a good snow. Can someone explain this? What’s causing that? Every model run it just skips right over them. The place we are staying is just northeast of Hendersonville on a higher elevation but does have a Hendersonville address. Yes this is a weenie post ?
 
Dropsondes huh. They don't care about us, they are only doing it for the NE. ?
 
Hopefully precip is more expansive. Here is control run.

View attachment 111212
Still sucks haha. I've got 2 hopes for my area, 1) that coastal low is a smidge more west and precip just a tick more expansive to the W/NW, honestly looking at the Euro, this seems doable but I guess the upper energy out west is impinging on the moisture transport ?‍♂️ 2) that the upper level system is able to stay intact and translate east. The backside bands with the last system actually held up better than most modelling but even with that I'm grasping for an inch at best meh
prateptype_cat_ecmwf.us_ma.png
 
As others have said, cold air does not look to be in short supply for the foreseeable future. I'll have to let @GaWx continue to take the lead on the uber-long range stuff, but we look good in terms of having cold around and events to track over the next couple of weeks at least.

I picked the 384 6z GFS, which obviously is fantasy land, but you can pretty much take your pick of frames before that on whatever your model of choice is. Fun times.

View attachment 111208
Still has to be cold enough and timed perfectly. Not holding my breath.
 
Yeah I think if you’re from AL and more so GA climo is just against you. The rug pull is inevitable. The mountains shield us. The cold press is too much or not enough. Western portions of the Deep South have a much better shot than we do.

It’s pointless for us to even look at anything more than 5 days out that gives us the goods.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
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