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Misc 2021-22 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

CAE gonna double it's yearly average Friday night combined with the previous event and that's wild. The models will allude to a bigger hit later today; bank on that with what's going on at h5. 18/00z will tell the tale.
 
I find it hard to believe that "dry slot" isn't real. Will be interesting to watch the storm thread today.
 
Yes. It seems some have forgotten that there are two different setups here. The coastal for eastern NC and the ULL possibility for interior sections. Problem is, the ULL really screws people to the East at least imo. Not sure how much closer we can get that precip/low from the coastal with the setup.
 
SD said:
100% real if you don't find a way to get the coastal moisture back west
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Seems IIRC the Dec 2000 (was it 2000?) debacle was similar in that models showed the upper level energy "linking up" with a coastal then exploding over NC. I remember a well known tv met using that exact terminology but we all know what happened. Models are better, unless the coastal comes NW (which I still think it will some) then those in the middle are screwed.
 
metwannabe said:
Seems IIRC the Dec 2000 (was it 2000?) debacle was similar in that models showed the upper level energy "linking up" with a coastal then exploding over NC. I remember a well known tv met using that exact terminology but we all know what happened. Models are better, unless the coastal comes NW (which I still think it will some) then those in the middle are screwed.
Click to expand...

Well fortunately my hopes haven't been very high since the Euro has been consistent for several runs in a row now of us getting precip holed.
But good news, looks like we get to track more CLT snowfall events in February.

gfs-ensemble-all-avg-namer-z500_anom_5day-4645600.png
 
metwannabe said:
Seems IIRC the Dec 2000 (was it 2000?) debacle was similar in that models showed the upper level energy "linking up" with a coastal then exploding over NC. I remember a well known tv met using that exact terminology but we all know what happened. Models are better, unless the coastal comes NW (which I still think it will some) then those in the middle are screwed.
Click to expand...
Setup isn't terribly dissimilar. This is why central NC needs the earlier tilt and bomb out S of ILM otherwise there's not much to get precip going other than a dying band racing east from the piedmont
 
KyloG said:
Well fortunately my hopes haven't been very high since the Euro has been consistent for several runs in a row now of us getting precip holed.
But good news, looks like we get to track more CLT snowfall events in February.

View attachment 110926
Click to expand...
I'm ready to torch tbh winter sucks
 
SD said:
Setup isn't terribly dissimilar. This is why central NC needs the earlier tilt and bomb out S of ILM otherwise there's not much to get precip going other than a dying band racing east from the piedmont
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Seems NAM trying to do what some modeling did back then, to a lesser extent. Someone said the other day that was the day the ETA died, NAM on the way out, so here's to the NAM
200 (4).gif
 
metwannabe said:
Seems NAM trying to do what some modeling did back then, to a lesser extent. Someone said the other day that was the day the ETA died, NAM on the way out, so here's to the NAM
View attachment 110930
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It'll take the rgem out to pasture with it. They are the only 2 that have anything significant in the suck zone between us1 and 95
 
So traveling to Hendersonville tmrw after kids get out of school around 3. This looks to be a non threat driving wise since they don’t look to get much correct? Or will the higher elevation help them?
 
Flo said:
So traveling to Hendersonville tmrw after kids get out of school around 3. This looks to be a non threat driving wise since they don’t look to get much correct? Or will the higher elevation help them?
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I recommend a cabin in Charlotte . Snow , crime , and lots of traffic .
 
I would not take anything here to heart in regards to traveling with children. National Weather Service and your local officials. Our website is for entertainment only.
 
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