If the Euro happens and the western Piedmont and foothills get hammered from a coastal while I, east of there, get clouds, I’m going to meltdown!
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Misc 2021-22 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread
- Thread starter jackendrickwx
- Start date
- Joined
- Jan 23, 2021
- Messages
- 3,890
- Reaction score
- 12,295
- Location
- Lebanon Township, Durham County NC
Saturday looks really cold if you believe the NAM.
Thor
Member
We can and we do!No way we can suck that bad....or can we....?
But (some of) the Charlotte folks will still be whining about always getting less snow than Raleigh folks despite that not being the case this winter! ?
CLT to GSP is the snow capital of the SE. They have doubled up Raleigh the past 10 years.
D
Deleted member 609
Guest
Scrubs
LickWx
Member
2012-2022 . Raleigh has had 3 season exceed 6 inches including back to back seasons recently . Greenville only 1 year last 10 and Charlotte 1 . Technically 2022 isn’t included in this so if you count that then now Greenville has 2.
RDU- 4.0 inches
CLT- 2.8 inches
GSP - 3.1 inches
smast16
Member
If the Nam happens and Bern get burried under a foot and i get half an inch i'm going to one unhappy, grumpy, and all around ugly person for a summer and fall.
RDU historically averages more snowfall than CLT, so that’s no surprise. RDU should be getting more. 4” is well below RDU’a 30-year average, in any case. GSP has gotten screwed in recent years, though. I think their average is basically the same as RDU’s.
shout out to the rgem which comes in swift and fast, compared to the nam who's rollout it chinese water torture
Don’t worry, we’re all going to be happy after Magic March regardless!!! modernweenie
Those people have me weak all the time. They be like “I’m getting word from someone who is looking at the data before it’s being published saying that the vort max is 25 degrees off from the last run at hour 3 so this run is a dead”
*model proceeds to show snowstorm*
???
smast16
Member
Sleet doesn't count as snow. Lol
So basically 2021 all over again
smast16
Member
I joke in jest, We know they aren't getting a foot of snow. 1. it's not going to be 10:1 ratios, and 2. only half of what falls will linger. Can't get efficient accumulation when it's 33 and 34 degrees.
Heelyes
Member
My local forecast has 2 to 6 inches here, what could go wrong? There is still some snow in the shade in a few areas.
smast16
Member
What would the Canadians know about our weather, anyways?
LickWx
Member
Is it really forecasting and serious discussion if what we mostly discuss and post is the snowiest models…..
oh, if rgem had a big snowstorm and nam didn't you can bet the nam would be tossed but the rgem not.
LickWx
Member
I’ve found the best approach to get an idea of what’s going on is to visit multiple forums . Right now my go to are here , mid Atlantic americanwx and nyc American wx. Each paint a different picture . I do the same for long range pattern . Here and wxdisco ( old accu weather forum )oh, if rgem had a big snowstorm and nam didn't you can bet the nam would be tossed but the rgem not.
LovingGulfLows
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
- Messages
- 1,376
- Reaction score
- 3,613
That's literally the three forums I go on as well lol.
BelmontWX79
Member
Lol nobody wanted to post the RGEM in the main thread!
LickWx
Member
Doesn’t the euro essentially show a dusting ? CMC ? Haven’t heard anything about the UKie lately .
- Joined
- Jan 23, 2021
- Messages
- 3,890
- Reaction score
- 12,295
- Location
- Lebanon Township, Durham County NC
But it’s not 33 and 34 degrees the entire time. You keep saying this but we’re dealing with a column that’s crashing and already cold antecedent conditions.
It was 38 degrees when it started snowing on both 12/18 and 1/23/03. You are not dealing in reality.
D
Deleted member 609
Guest
I am canceling the rgem. Riding the nam until the wheels fall off.
LickWx
Member
@NickyBGuarantee you should contact NWS caribou maybe you could get an internship . Would be pretty sick . Also contact NWS Raleigh. They are right on centennial , I’ve been inside and hung out with em before . Cool stuff. Met @YetAnotherRDUGuy there.
Caribou, ME
www.weather.gov
LickWx
Member
Yeah , heavy wet snow . Column crashing is fun.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
2025 Supporter
6Z GFS should have more buzz! It was a great run! Winter’s not over! Mega analfrontal incoming for our torchy February 
It’s getting testy in here this morning!
LickWx
Member
So if the nam is the short range gfs so to speak and rgem short range canadian, why dont we got a euro version? That would be cool.
smast16
Member
I never stated the entire event, but there will be a several hour window of snow (maybe more) @ or above 32 degrees. You will not get efficient accumulations.
This whole column crashing is 100% rate driven, so if the rates aren't as strong as depicted on the NAM, then you can be even warmer.
And since I was referring to Bern in my first post, here's the GFS sounding for Bern.
And here's Durham. GFS doesn't show below freezing till after precip is moving out.
You must not be on here much. Too busy doing “things” that you say you really need to do all the time
Both situations would verify as 32/SN for both locations. It’s not ideal, I’ll agree, but it’s also not going to snow for hours at 34 like the models show, either. Models often keep BL temps too high in such situations, when in reality 2m temps almost always drop to freezing.
You know me man...most of the time, I'm going to ride out with you and suit up with the cold first jersey. In this case, if we get light precip, honestly, who cares if it's rain or snow. It's going to come down in the middle of the night and probably won't amount to more than a dusting. But if we get rapid cyclogenesis off the coast, there will be plenty of precipitation and plenty of that will be snow. It won't be efficient at first, but it'll get there.