Misc 2021-22 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

[Rain Cold]

Helpful hints for today:

Look out your window frequently

When squnting to determine if snow is falling make sure the backdrop is dark.

Ignore every model except the one that shows the most snow in your back yard.

Look out the window again

Only use the Intellicast radar mosaic.

When determining whether or not the animated pixels are headed toward your house, use a straight edge from the pixel motion to your location and adjust as necessary to force a track as close as possible

Remember to look out the window

Check mping reports upstream

Eating comfort food will help

When frustrated that it's not snowing yet, complain to a fellow weenie

Only accept posts that ignore drying trends

And be sure and look out the window

 

[Shawn]

i bought binoculars just to be able to look close at the street light so i dont miss a flurry or two mixing in the rain tonight

 

[BHS1975]

i bought binoculars just to be able to look close at the street light so i dont miss a flurry or two mixing in the rain tonight

You may mix with sleet not rain .


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Shawn]

You may mix with sleet not rain .


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

nope rain. its always rain in khell

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

Helpful hints for today:

Look out your window frequently

When squnting to determine if snow is falling make sure the backdrop is dark.

Ignore every model except the one that shows the most snow in your back yard.

Look out the window again

Only use the Intellicast radar mosaic.

When determining whether or not the animated pixels are headed toward your house, use a straight edge from the pixel motion to your location and adjust as necessary to force a track as close as possible

Remember to look out the window

Check mping reports upstream

Eating comfort food will help

When frustrated that it's not snowing yet, complain to a fellow weenie

Only accept posts that ignore drying trends

And be sure and look out the window

Haha, the weenie credo! Truth.

Sorry for the banter but I couldn't resist!

 

[carolinachaos]

View attachment 109071View attachment 109072
Side by side- Current WV vs NAM 250 humidity at 15z- So far I like how our little baroclinic leaf (little bulge around arklatex) is developing, a little more pronounced than modeling. We want this feature to look like a cat under the covers of a made bed

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[SnowNiner]

Yeah, glad if shifted NW to keep the event for Eastern NC, hope you guys reel it in! Still not feeling it for MBY but happy we've another week or so of great pattern. Next week let's get a Board wide hit!!

 

[Ross]

the nam this storm

 

[KyloG]

I know it doesn't matter...but it irks me when we aren't in the pink.

 

[Shawn]

yay nam sleet and zr for mby now yay

 

[BirdManDoomW]

Any chance Wilkes gets 5”

 

[superjames1992]

Any chance Wilkes gets 5”

Anything is possible!

 

[SNOWMANN]

Any chance Wilkes gets 5”

U should know?

 

[RBR71]

I'm so used to @packfan98 being so calm, level headed, voice of reason but man he's let his inner weenie out this morning! hahahaha you love to see it

 

[packfan98]

I'm so used to @packfan98 being so calm, level headed, voice of reason but man he's let his inner weenie out this morning! hahahaha you love to see it

lol. I'm just posting maps. I paid $9.99 so I'm getting my money's worth!

 

[BHS1975]

I'm so used to @packfan98 being so calm, level headed, voice of reason but man he's let his inner weenie out this morning! hahahaha you love to see it

Yeah the crazy models and years without snow will do that.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Tarheel1]

148 page storm thread for clouds and flurries. We got you again!

-- 6z model suite

Sad! Now we are Hugging the HRRR and chasing bulges! ????

 

[Tarheel1]

We should name this storm “ It’s Coming West’

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

I really think the ratios are not being considered enough west of 95. If that zone gets .4 QPF, that should equate to 5-6" of snow.

View attachment 109091

Sun angle, ground temps …

 

[superjames1992]

I wish I was in Clayton or Chalybeate Springs instead of Durham. modernweenie

 

[PDubRDU]

I know it doesn't matter...but it irks me when we aren't in the pink.

View attachment 109085

Maybe @YetAnotherRDUGuy can make that happen. ?‍

 

[SD]

I wish I was in Clayton or Chalybeate Springs instead of Durham. modernweenie

Don't you try to reverse jinx this.

 

[KyloG]

I wish I was in Clayton or Chalybeate Springs instead of Durham. modernweenie

You trying to put the KOD on SD/RainCold. Somehow it will snow 3" NSEW of them. ?

 

[superjames1992]

You trying to put the KOD on SD/RainCold. Somehow it will snow 3" NSEW of them. ?

Roxboro is going to get more than all of us, anyways. Same insane banding is about to set up these. Plus, they’ll have 100:1 ratios that far north! Just watch!

 

[Tarheel1]

Damn, RIP Meatloaf ??

 

[thunderwolf]

HRRR never has had run to run consistency, especially beyond 6 hours. We need to stop acting like its the bible each run and stop being shocked when its totally different the next hour. I would say the models in general have been pretty consistent over the past 24 hours with their solutions when you step back and take a broader look at things. There are always going to be some minor changes, but we are probably way overanalyzing everything at this point.

 

[marino13882]

Don't you try to reverse jinx this.

Let the man speak, he may be on to something

 

[YetAnotherRDUGuy]

Maybe @YetAnotherRDUGuy can make that happen. ?‍

LOL, I admit I was surprised that Wake and another line of counties west weren't added to WWWs in early morning update. Heck, I think Harnett (EDIT: I mean Johnston) is technically warning criteria now according to the latest snow map, but maybe they're waiting to add counties all in one update? I admit that forecasting the forecasters isn't easy..

Will be interesting to see what they do later today though.

 

[SD]

I looked at the 13z hrrr. Dumb

 

[ATLwxfan]

When are we starting the January 31st overrunning round 2 thread?


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

How much snow for Barnwell, SC? Early Branch? Ehrhardt?

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Here's season-to-date snowfall...interesting that this setup will primarily be impacting areas that haven't seen anything all winter yet, almost a perfect overlay to fill in most of the gaps in the Carolinas. Well, enjoy!

View attachment 109102

This is amazing .. everyone wins in the winter of 2021-2022. It won’t go unnoticed for years.

 

[thunderwolf]

Here's season-to-date snowfall...interesting that this setup will primarily be impacting areas that haven't seen anything all winter yet, almost a perfect overlay to fill in most of the gaps in the Carolinas. Well, enjoy!

View attachment 109102

Almost ?

 

[Deleted member 609]

All my puddles dried up. How will it snow now?

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

All my puddles dried up. How will it snow now?

Should stick better and help with rates since your puddle water is in the clouds now

 

[Tarheel1]

@Jimmy Hypocracy , I don’t know how to tell you this, but you need to hear it from a former neighbor:
It ain’t gonna snow! Your tractor is about to be naked! Sorry?

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

@Jimmy Hypocracy , I don’t know how to tell you this, but you need to hear it from a former neighbor:
It ain’t gonna snow! Your tractor is about to be naked! Sorry?

That’s what you said about the last one ?

CJ showed a map last night of what it would look like if the low placement shifted 60 miles west and I blew my wad. I’m expecting one good snow shower to fill in the gaps!

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

This is amazing .. everyone wins in the winter of 2021-2022. It won’t go unnoticed for years.

Oh please. Not everyone is winning. This map shows me at 1-2" and i've seen a few patches of snow in the yard that melted in 5 minutes. This has been a horrible winter for the I-20 corridor.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Oh please. Not everyone is winning. This map shows me at 1-2" and i've seen a few patches of snow in the yard that melted in 5 minutes. This has been a horrible winter for the I-20 corridor.

I mean you live in the armpit of the south. This was a good winter for you anyway you slice it.

 

[Shawn]