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Misc 2021-22 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

“Does not like to make decisions for people”


That doesn't make sense.. He works in a major metro/population viewing area and everything he does or says force people's decision process for the weather impacts I would think?
 
Told my dad this morning that we may miss this storm to the east. He then said, "I want 6 inches of snow, not ice."

:( (not about possibly missing on ice, but about the snow)
 
I have the feeling we'll continue to be in a good spot for snow in the RDU area. Can't change my mind now. Call me weenie.
I think we are in a solid spot. I’m not going to lie, I’m a little worried about being too far NW for major precip, but I suppose that beats worrying to death about sleeting. We’ll probably sleet anyways, though; we always do!
 
I'll throw this out there for those worried inland. With these COLD setups (lower than 30 surface temp), I usually worry about starting bone dry at onset. I have bad memories of being under radar returns of either light precip or at the edge of a precip shield for several agonizing hours waiting for the columns to saturate and FINALLY start snowing.

But at least this setup never gets a chance to dry out beforehand, so any precip above us won’t get lost to evaporation. (unless I’m missing something)
 
Still think this is a bit of a head fake as very minute changes can change the outcome drastically .. putting in whammy though since it could be the snow weenie talking .. just can’t see this being 36 hours away out of HRRR long range and it’s not done pulling a surprise or two
 
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Where’s my damn February torch I was promised??????View attachment 108325
I got inside information with the head electron, who told me they do a spin-flip transition by hour 300 (to ensure accuracy) which means that the model output must be read by the 500mb with an opposite sign... Ridges are actually where troughs are... this means a warm start to February
 
Still think this is a bit of a head fake as very minute changes can change the outcome drastically .. putting in whammy though since it could be the snow weenie talking .. just can’t see this being 36 hours away out of HRRR long range and it’s not done pulling a surprise or two
Yeah, it’s definitely not over yet. Still plenty of time. Just concerning nearly every model went this way at 12z. I haven’t seen more than 2” of snow IMBY in seven years and I’m desperate for at least a moderate storm!!! ?

I would rather deal with this situation than dealing with rain now, but either way we can lose. And we can find new and creative ways to do so!!!
 
Yeah, it’s definitely not over yet. Still plenty of time. Just concerning nearly every model went this way at 12z. I haven’t seen more than 2” of snow IMBY in seven years and I’m desperate for at least a moderate storm!!! ?

I would rather deal with this situation than dealing with rain now, but either way we can lose. And we can find new and creative ways to do so!!!

Didn't you get a couple big hits up in Durham in 2018?
 
Hasn't accumulated there since 1989. I would know. My parents stopped me from playing in it because I didn't have warm weather clothes. They told me it would snow again. It never did down there.
Haha, we actually got a dusting of snow for the first time since 1989 when I was down there in January 2018. It was pretty wild! Nothing notable, but cool to see.

 
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