StormWatch
Member
I'll post it here in this thread - whamby thread. I should have it posted within the next hour - hour 1/2. I'm still thinking how I should go about creating the prediction and creating the map can take some time.
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Misc 2021-22 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread
- Thread starter jackendrickwx
- Start date
Let's discuss?
packfan98
Moderator
Anybody else get the feeling that there are folks here who post all the time, but don’t care anything about the weather?
pcbjr
Member
LickWx
Member
I care about the weather … warm weather !
LickWx
Member
First letter is right ending is a letter not a number
If your predicting a winter storm already it's really not more realistic. Might as well go for doncane 2.0, go big or go
Parker
Member
Wow, I figured out who storm watch is.
StormWatch
Member
Not a good idea for doncane 2.0, lol. I don't want another repeat like that other time.
Brent
Member
Already I'm ready for some cold weather now. At least we don't have violent killer tornadoes then
LickWx
Member
210 people died in the February arctic blast
Brent
Member
Never said I wanted a February... Just some cold weather. It doesn't have to be below zero
StormWatch
Member
The following post is a discussion of a possible winter storm - the predicted timing of the storm is between the 19th - 22nd. It's still too early to know exact details, but I have drew out a basic map of the initial setup leading up to the possible winter storm. As it's still early, the questions come to me of two possible scenarios - whether a (nearly) stalled front would slowly progress southeast and overrunning of frozen precipitation develops further towards the southeastern US and no actual low pressure.
Or scenario 2. - A possible low pressure develops on the tail end of the stalled front and eventually the stalled front would dissipate as the low begins strengthening. It's possible that the front sags further to the southeast before the actual low kicks out. I think the best scenario would be scenario 2 because it's likely that the eastern ridge would dissipate/push offshore as a mesoscale PV progresses east in Canada/US boarder while a trough comes into place at the same time in relation of the mesoscale PV. The low would develop on the tail end of the boundary due to colder air meeting with the warmer air causing upward motion of air.
That's all what I have for now, more details to follow as this prediction is evolving...
Or scenario 2. - A possible low pressure develops on the tail end of the stalled front and eventually the stalled front would dissipate as the low begins strengthening. It's possible that the front sags further to the southeast before the actual low kicks out. I think the best scenario would be scenario 2 because it's likely that the eastern ridge would dissipate/push offshore as a mesoscale PV progresses east in Canada/US boarder while a trough comes into place at the same time in relation of the mesoscale PV. The low would develop on the tail end of the boundary due to colder air meeting with the warmer air causing upward motion of air.
That's all what I have for now, more details to follow as this prediction is evolving...
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Brick Tamland
Guest
Thanks, Greg Fishel.
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Congrats Mexico 
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Lol wtf Mexico and Texas mexico line gets snow for several days in a row. Smh
StormWatch
Member
Well, the 0z GFS ending up being relative to my prediction of the winter storm 
I'm excited about it.
I'm excited about it.
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Wow cfs with an extreme dump out west with cold. Look at Texas ?