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Misc 2021-22 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

Lickwx said:
No, no I am not ok. I used to be the biggest snow weenie when I was a kid. I would get anxiety attacks start of each winter " will this be the winter where I see no snow"? I would get up 4 am to see it snow, play all day. I was a freak. Then one day I was crushed, it was 11-12. I gave up and became a warm weenie. Then this storm, I felt something, a joy, a desire that had long been gone. 10 years gone. Its all yalls fault for dragging me into this! I was happy! Now look. You broke my heart storm 5!
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This is your safe place let it out


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SnowNiner said:
You'd think a glorified clipper would be. Very odd to think it takes such a southern route. Just keep watching. I guess that's what's great, loaded pattern so the winter doesn't end with this one.
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Why is it we always trend away from snow?
 
Well, on to the next storm I guess. That GFS run was a heartbreaker for sure. It's still early in the game but the momentum has definitely shifted towards our usual winter storm scenario for anything south and east of RDU these days, some possible winter precipitation at the onset, a torrential rain storm for several hours and then some token flakes at the end. If the next Euro run shifts inline with the GFS/GEFS/ICON/CMC that might be the deal breaker as far as this winter storm is concerned.
 
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the gefs has pretty much all of 85 north in the carolinas with a 10-20%+ chance of a foot of snow lmao
 
The dreaded bullseye...dam
Oconee ranges from 14"-20"+ beautiful soundings for 21hrs straight. I'd gladly take half
 
Any recommendations on where to stay in mountains for this? Prefer air bnb and something close to main road so roads are plowed.

Edit - Somewhere near tubing for kids also.
 
SnowNiner said:
I don't buy that it's going to be that amped.

gfs_z500_vort_seus_22.png
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540 two contoured ULL going right over Atlanta should still be heavy snow for the northern third of GA....definitely a deformation band in there.
 
Broken024 said:
Any recommendations on where to stay in mountains for this? Prefer air bnb and something close to main road so roads are plowed.

Edit - Somewhere near tubing for kids also.
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Places near ski areas will get plowed as quick as they can, cuz that’s where the money’s at
 
Rain Cold said:
Why is it we always trend away from snow?
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It's ok, DC rains so we're good. lol. Nah, too early to give up. My guess the euro amps a bit today and gfs flattens a bit and it meets in the middle eventaully. Probably not the best for everybody but I bet everybody in NC gets in the game for something. Could be wrong but that's my gut at the moment.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_23.png
 
Even the usually cold biased CMC model has the Midlands with low 30s/mid 30s with Ice/cold rain. Just 12 Hours,the CMC had a major snowstorm for us. At this point,this looks like ether a very cold rain event or a Ice event when considering the trends. Congrats to the Upstate SC/West Pidemount areas of NC , Mountains and the Mid Atlantic States. The Models are looking quite good for those areas.
 
metwannabe said:
You post images that have already been posted by other members several post back, shoot most time already analyzed/discussed when you post it. I just figure your not seeing them ?‍♂️
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I’m very sorry man, didn’t realize it. I’ll do better next time lol
 
Faco Thomas said:
Even the usually cold biased CMC model has the Midlands with low 30s/mid 30s with Ice/cold rain. Just 12 Hours,the CMC had a major snowstorm for us. At this point,this looks like ether a very cold rain event or a Ice event when considering the trends. Congrats to the Upstate SC/West Pidemount areas of NC , Mountains and the Mid Atlantic States. The Models are looking quite good for those areas.
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Canadian is just about as bad as the ICON IMO. 4-5 days before this event. Ridiculous amount of time for this to go very good or very bad for everybody. Seriously, it's a long way out. This may be a Boston storm, or it may be flurries.
 
what's that saying? the get the heaviest snows you gotta be close enough to smell the 1.5" crippling ice storm
 
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