I think I've recorded more frozen precip then @Tarheel1 80s lounge chair
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Misc 2021-22 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread
- Thread starter jackendrickwx
- Start date
V16 nailed dec 9 2018It's been that way for literally ever. You telling me weather models 10 years ago had better long-range accuracy than one's today? lol. There's so much that weather models cant see, I mean they are literally attempting to predict the interactions between a million frickin variables when there are at least 10 million more they just can't account for. Think of all the small details they don't see that add up into big changes, small topographical changes compounded over long distances, maybe even the interaction between built environments and the atmosphere, or even something like chaos theories butterfly affect.
I mean check this out, this is what goes into weather models. literal chaos theory and disorder. Look at this lorentz attractor. funny I learned about this from an article about dimensions of consciousness. This is weather turbulence modeled, a set of chaotic solutions. I also wonder how small temp changes work. I mean, our weather sensor might read something that rounds too 70.4 degrees, when in reality if we could break up a 1 cubic meter area of air and break that even further into smaller areas and be able to measure the temps in each of those smaller areas we would find so many variations! from 70.4, to 70.3893 to 70.2 to 70.7 etc etc. I mean weather models are just not able to see that stuff.
Dimensions of consciousness
www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Sad but true! I’m holding out for delayed, but not denied! ?
NoSnowATL
Member
Today last year….we also have a flurry thread for late November. ?
NoSnowATL
Member
Love how a certain met bashes snow maps but posts the cfs extended showing warmth but didn't post it when it was cold. ?
I wouldn’t get jealous over that event. That was a crappy setup, and I don’t even know why we even thought that was producible. I mean, a +AO suppressing a mega ridge over the central plains in late November w/ no ensemble support. No Thanks
Ironically that’s the system I remember tracking the most last year.
When your desperate anything feels possible
Since we are posting long range maps tonight here is the euro weekly 2m temp composite for the next 46 days I think we'd all take it
That was probably the most desperate I’ve ever been. Never again! Now I know what snow setups looks like.
NoSnowATL
Member
So this?
This looks more inline with what the Old Farmer's Almanac has been suggesting. These might be our winter folks!
weatherfide
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Let's play "My Favorite Ensemble"? Anyone want to join in? I'll start with this gem from the 11/23/2021 06z GEFS:
NoSnowATL
Member
If that's the best we suck still.
weatherfide
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So Atlanta has the same forecast as the U.P. of Michigan????? Dumb.
NoSnowATL
Member
Prepare for glory this winter. Feet and feet of snow.
weatherfide
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weatherfide
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- Joined
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- Reaction score
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I recently had a dream that this was so. It was so much snow that we were all tired of it and it had begun to threaten our sanity. Then I woke up anxious and trembling in fear! What a nightmare!
Back to the reality of chasing my slight chance of flurries after a modified arctic intrusion in January.
Hopefully we can get back to the classics on the thread names for JFM.
Jammin January
Fab Feb
Mega March
Not sure how you can vote for anything else
Jammin January
Fab Feb
Mega March
Not sure how you can vote for anything else
NoSnowATL
Member
I don't trust the polls anyways.......