• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Misc 2021-22 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

CyclonicFury said:
I have a feeling this winter is going to be slightly AN during December/early January, then we get a random big dog around late January, then we torch in February
Click to expand...

Of those winters I mentioned early this morning:

"
If you look at all La Ninas since 1895 that were above normal in Dec at RDU, the median snow of those 22 winters is ~3.7", or ~25% below normal and ~2/3rds of those winters had below average snowfall. Not the end of the world, and you could cherry-pick a few occasional blockbusters (1999-00) as a counterpoint, but the overall signal certainly puts us at a decided disadvantage when December is warm in a la nina. Same can not be said for El Nino winters tho.

So, we're basically giving ourselves a 33% chance (historically) to end up 'cashing in' this winter, you can basically assume that's the upper bound on the chances here because the long-term trend is towards warmer/less snowy winters w/ time."

Fwiw, a majority of the "good" winters of that subset for RDU (1921-22, 1964-65, 1999-00, & 2001-02) produced a big dog in mid-late January. Looks like March was the next most common time to produce a decent-good storm of these winters.
January 20 2009 NC Snowmap.gif
January 24-25 2000 NC Snowmap.gif

January 16-17 1965 NC Snowmap.png
January 27-28 1922 NC Snow map.png
 
NoSnowATL said:
So the good ones?
Click to expand...
Nah I’m talking more about the fat ones who know they are fat but try to cover it up with a bunch of ---- like that to try to feel better but it doesn’t work because they have crippling anxiety on the inside despite the large loud persona on the out. Nothing cute about 300 pound Betsy when she is burping and hollering real loud and ignorantly when you take her out to chili’s and she gets frustrated at some server.
 
Lickwx said:
Nah I’m talking more about the fat ones who know they are fat but try to cover it up with a bunch of ---- like that to try to feel better but it doesn’t work because they have crippling anxiety on the inside despite the large loud persona on the out. Nothing cute about 300 pound Betsy when she is burping and hollering real loud and ignorantly when you take her out to chili’s and she gets frustrated at some server.
Click to expand...
I know exactly about what your talking about
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
I know exactly about what your talking about
Click to expand...
I’m just waiting on Larry to accuse me of being racist because he assumed Im stereotyping black girls when in reality the women I had in mind were 5 foot 4 Southern white ladies who wear flip flops with high water jeans and monogrammed turquoise colored shirts to match the Karen cut and their bowling ball shape.
 
Broken024 said:
Sir this is the whamby thread... only to be used for bitching about weather and urban sprawl. Please take this to the sports thread. Thanks.
Click to expand...
WTF is up with traffic circles ??? Seriously, I think iowa just discovered them and they put one every 100yards on some streets! Waterloo is the worse! And they love a freaking 4 way stop! Busy ass intersections and just damn stop signs!!?
 
Tarheel1 said:
WTF is up with traffic circles ??? Seriously, I think iowa just discovered them and they put one every 100yards on some streets! Waterloo is the worse! And they love a freaking 4 way stop! Busy ass intersections and just damn stop signs!!?
Click to expand...
I hope they put a traffic circle right through your house
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top