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Misc 2021-22 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

I swear people live and die by models. Another place I visit is totally melting down over the GFS ? but the other day the cold it showed was totally believable. Yeah okay...
 
Winter Update Outlook. Slow and brutal winter in Cali will work it’s way to NC by January 29 - February 5th onward before spring takes it grip. (Back sided winter fkls). High mountain snows (some storms producing 12”+ above 3,000ft) with some opportunities of wintry mix below that too! IN ADDITION our drought could start to wane with ample rainfall in the Charlotte metro region (thinking dryer for eastern NC). Winter storms will bring sleet/rain/ice and most of the snow confined to MTN areas. Overall will be good winter just slow start. Spring could also be below normal temps. There could be more mixing late January into February with a better chance of non-mixing snow very late February into March being just snow as temps change (Hickory, Winston, Raleigh). @Webberweather53 @Rain Cold @fro @NickyBGuarantee
 
Come on man all of our December's are bad only the lucky years we score in December but at least usually they are cold this one is just brutal although we’ve had a good stretch of cold days sometimes so it’s alright but logistically it’s been torch
They have been anything but cold. There hasn't been a below average December for most on this board in 10 years.
 
Winter Update Outlook. Slow and brutal winter in Cali will work it’s way to NC by January 29 - February 5th onward before spring takes it grip. (Back sided winter fkls). High mountain snows (some storms producing 12”+ above 3,000ft) with some opportunities of wintry mix below that too! IN ADDITION our drought could start to wane with ample rainfall in the Charlotte metro region (thinking dryer for eastern NC). Winter storms will bring sleet/rain/ice and most of the snow confined to MTN areas. Overall will be good winter just slow start. Spring could also be below normal temps. There could be more mixing late January into February with a better chance of non-mixing snow very late February into March being just snow as temps change (Hickory, Winston, Raleigh). @Webberweather53 @Rain Cold @fro @NickyBGuarantee
Great update! Delayed but not denied. Merry Christmas Eve!
 
Merry Christmas all! I will be firing up the grill this Christmas Eve; if the coming May is like the last two I will not be grilling in early May due to the cold combined with 40 mph winds.
 
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My next update will be on January 24th! I don’t believe in changing by the models runs or on a weekly basis. My outlooks have been good so far. I hope I’m wrong and score a miracle sooner but I’m just trying to breakdown this winter into segments.
 
Bringing back this Gem:
Twas the night before Christmas, when all through the east
Not a snowflake was stirring, not one in the least.
The snow boots were stored in the closet with care
And the shovel was hung on the wall in despair.

The cold it was nestled, all snug near the pole
A gift far much worse than a big lump of coal.
And the only small token that winter brought forth
Came from a cool front, slipping in from the north.

I laid there awake as I heard the rain splatter
Another good winter turning into a ratter.
When what to my wondering ears did I hear?
An alert that the new European was here.

The cold GFS had given me snow
Would the Euro confirm? I just had to know.
Away to the laptop, I flew like a flash
Threw open the website and cleared all the cache.

But even as over the time stamps I flew
My eyes soon confirmed what my heavy heart knew
There was only bright red where there should have been blue
The Euro had spoken, “There is no snow for you!”

My head hung in sadness while I sat there and pondered
Would ensembles be worth staying up for, I wondered?
Would a miracle await, would Christmas some through?
Could the wintriest of all wintry wishes come true?

But soon to my senses I came with a bound
Closed out the window and shut the site down.
Then off to the bedroom, I turned with a jerk
Three hours of sleep was the night’s only perk.

As I pillowed my head and tucked in the sheet
Distressed that the Euro is so hard to beat
I knew in my heart that this snowstorm was done
At least until dawn and the next 6z run.

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MERRY CHRISTMAS!!
 
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