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Misc 2021-22 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

Legit question,

How's even raining with those soundings? Looks like elevated convection (Above 850 MB) over a cold dome with Easterly wind?
WAA and Fgen over top whatever weak sfc wedge layer exists
namconus_temp_adv_fgen_850_seus_39 (1).png
Then a good amount of divergence on top of that
namconus_uv250_seus_39.png

Very much a cold season look imo
 
but it’s coming right ? I was told it was !! View attachment 93813
Now you’re actually starting to sound like a weenie. The cold is being more amplified causing the airmass to back up and get colder.. the airmass still would push through no matter how you slice it. Delayed and denied is what you want unfortunately it won’t work out that way in this setup
 
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