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2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season Discussion

Henry2326

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00z Euro stays with MDR moving west while 06z GFS stays Carrib.
2 solutions for the same time period that couldn't be anymore different.

ScreenshotCapture_2020_10_11_10_03_22_412.jpg

ScreenshotCapture_2020_10_11_10_03_55_883.jpg
 

GaWx

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The Happy Hour GEFS is saying that 2020 will have a good chance to be only the 3rd season on record going back to 1851 with 3 October W Caribbean geneses. The other two are 2005 (3rd one was Beta with genesis on 10/26) and 1870 (3rd one had genesis on 10/29). So, 2020 would by a good number of days have the earliest 3rd Oct W Car genesis on record:

 

Ollie Williams

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The Happy Hour GEFS is saying that 2020 will have a good chance to be only the 3rd season on record going back to 1851 with 3 October W Caribbean geneses. The other two are 2005 (3rd one was Beta with genesis on 10/26) and 1870 (3rd one had genesis on 10/29). So, 2020 would by a good number of days have the earliest 3rd Oct W Car genesis on record:

Taking verbatim from that run, It doesn't look like I can change my profile picture back to the traditional Ollie anytime soon. smh
 

Downeastnc

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That wind field though....IF something like this formed and did track right up or just inland up the coast it would be horrible, the surge from such a big wind field would be insane, hell even as pictured the coastal beach erosion would be very bad in NC.....Hwy 12 would not stand a chance.

gfs_mslp_uv850_seus_58.png
 
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