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Tropical 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season Discussion

Rain Cold said:
L freakin OL! How could yall miss this?!
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Dont forget this, a 1040 high over NE/Canada and a 995 low over GA equals one hell of a gradient over NC lol.....basically 18 hrs of 40mph sustained winds....the surge up all the NC rivers while getting 20" of rain well lets be glad this is 300+ hrs out.....this being 2020 though has me a bit nervous....

gfs_mslp_wind_seus_57.png
 
Downeastnc said:
Dont forget this, a 1040 high over NE/Canada and a 995 low over GA equals one hell of a gradient over NC lol.....basically 18 hrs of 40mph sustained winds....the surge up all the NC rivers while getting 20" of rain well lets be glad this is 300+ hrs out.....this being 2020 though has me a bit nervous....

View attachment 51408
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OH THE CAD potential here with a little shuffeling for the highest elevations espeacilly
 
NCSNOW said:
OH THE CAD potential here with a little shuffeling for the highest elevations espeacilly
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Honestly I thought the same thing when I saw that look. Maybe center the high in NY and move the low to just east of Savannah.
 
Folks,
It may not be over anytime soon per 12Z GEFS and this isn't the end of the run! :eek:

img
 
Another Caribbean storm??? Theta and Iota is next (there's another circle in the far eastern Atlantic)

2. A tropical wave is forecast to move over the central Caribbean Sea,
where an area of low pressure could form in a few days.
Environmental conditions may be conducive for at least gradual
development thereafter while the system moves slowly westward
through the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.two_atl_5d0.png
 
Brent said:
Another Caribbean storm??? Theta and Iota is next (there's another circle in the far eastern Atlantic)

2. A tropical wave is forecast to move over the central Caribbean Sea,
where an area of low pressure could form in a few days.
Environmental conditions may be conducive for at least gradual
development thereafter while the system moves slowly westward
through the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.View attachment 51865
Click to expand...
GFS has to-be Theta going into the southern Yucatan a major in 12 days. The season isn't over yet it seems.
 
12Z UKMET: a new TD in Caribbean late week moving W and then SW

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 15.9N 72.5W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 13.11.2020 120 15.9N 72.5W 1007 29
0000UTC 14.11.2020 132 15.9N 74.3W 1007 28
1200UTC 14.11.2020 144 14.8N 75.5W 1007 26
 
Look at that Bermuda HP on the LR GFS pic Above. Last thing I want to be looking at as we head toward Met winter. Rascal has just decided to dig its heels in.
 
Happy Hour GEFS: this is for two, three, or however many hurricanes from now, not the next one:

 
I swear the W Caribbean is a TC breeding ground at this point


1. Another area of low pressure could form in a few days over the
central or southwestern Caribbean Sea. Development, if any, of
this system is expected to be slow to occur late this week while
the system moves slowly westward across the southwestern Caribbean
Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
 
Another area of interest in the northeast Atlantic. Lol

A non-tropical area of low pressure is expected to form over the far
eastern Atlantic during the weekend. This system could gradually
gain subtropical characteristics while it moves slowly southward
through early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

DA47CCF6-F22B-44CB-967A-ED33CD88A103.png
 
Code Orange...
Designated as Invest 99L as well.

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a non-tropical area of low
pressure located several hundred miles southeast of Bermuda have
increased during the past few hours. Additional subtropical
development is possible during the next day or so while the low
drifts south-southwestward. Environmental conditions are expected to
become unfavorable for further development over the weekend as the
system begins to move north-northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.1F50FAD5-96B1-40CE-9B1B-D1D57F10AF71.png
 
Medium chance for development now. I kinda wanna write my members of Congress and tweet to Joe Bastardi about creating a new hurricane basin season for the Azores area that will stretch back west to the north central Atlantic. That way it won’t inflate the Atlantic/USA numbers and policy.
 
I would call it “East Atlantic Hurricane Basin”. This would help bring numbers down for the main Atlantic Hurricane basin.
 
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I mean the pacific has east and central basins...etc. Not really far fetched idea?
 
If we gave Newfoundland Canada the authority it would cut down on our costs for Bermuda/Canada systems. Maybe a second office in Portugal years down the road should activity continue to increase. I mean eventually a stronger hurricane will cause a huge loss of life and likely require missions near the Azores.
 
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