Tropical 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season Discussion

[GaWx]

Thoughts on how long it would take to warm back up, if another goes through that area? Fairly shallow in that area....

I assume it mainly depends on amount of sunshine, whether there are any cold fronts that get down into the Gulf, currents, depth as you mentioned, etc. Maybe a couple of weeks though it may not get to the same level of warmth with the tremendous amount of warmth that was removed.

I remember the massive cooling from Dorian!

If you had access to old daily maps similar to this for other storms, you could get some idea that way.

 

[Henry2326]

18z GFS......end of run.....glad that's just one run.....

 

[wxdaniel]

18z GFS......end of run.....glad that's just one run.....

View attachment 47649

That ridge is too weak for comfort.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Henry2326]

That ridge is too weak for comfort.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

GFS has shown the ridge over the past 4 days in various strengths between the 10th and 13th. If it verifies, Yikes......

 

[wxdaniel]

I know it’s in “the shire” right now but looking at this the TC to the north of this PH is weakening the H5 over the North Atlantic. I would be concerned for the south east and a weakening ridge.

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Brent]

Fantasy GFS a Boston hurricane?

 

[Henry2326]

06z GFS shows a strong storm getting trapped......again.

 

[wxdaniel]

Being that far off (in time) I’m surprised it’s in the same place for two days.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Henry2326]

Back to reality. 00z Icon has the cruiser trying to get in the gulf.....00z CMC does to but actually spins up #2......

 

[Henry2326]

Being that far off (in time) I’m surprised it’s in the same place for two days.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Yeah, the one thing consistent is that ridge....

 

[Henry2326]

Nice chart....

 

[Shaggy]

06z GFS shows a strong storm getting trapped......again.

View attachment 47669

Felix 95'? He recurved early then hooked left made a run at NC then recurved

 

[lexxnchloe]

Trapped where?

 

[SD]

Me thinks we are going to make a run at Nana right off the SE coast this week

 

[BHS1975]

Me thinks we are going to make a run at Nana right off the SE coast this week

And if it goes ots we can say nana nana hey hey hey goodbye lol


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Cadi40]

The blocking pattern almost reminds me of a track similar to Hurricane Florence, although that was an extremely rare occurrence.

 

[Cad Wedge NC]

Trapped where?

He's referring to the ridge keeping the storm from re-curving out to sea. Trapped means it doesn't gain latitude as it moves west..

 

[lexxnchloe]

Yes, but where is it trapped?

 

[Shaggy]

Yes, but where is it trapped?

Well east for the time being out past bermuda. Then run before it had it hitting Boston so it's all noise at the moment. Big take away is the gfs is being persistent with genesis.

 

[Ollie Williams]

Yes, but where is it trapped?

You have to know that ridges of high pressure flows clockwise, and a low pressure system moves counterclockwise. Typically the most dangerous setups for hurricanes is when we get a high pressure ridge over the northeast, which as illustrated in the picture, which allows the storm to get trapped, and have no where to go but hitting land.