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Misc 2020/21 Fall and Winter Whamby Thread

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You know, I’m an oddball here but I do like this weather . Although I’d rather it be closer to normal with dry sunny warm days and cool nights instead of this. Still though, I’m going to enjoy this . Nice tropical type weather that makes you want to head down to the beach and lay out . Water temps can’t be that cold yet down by the ocean , probably low 70s? I see 73 at Wrightsville beach , 82 in the Gulf Stream 10 miles offshore Hatteras.
 
You know, I’m an oddball here but I do like this weather . Although I’d rather it be closer to normal with dry sunny warm days and cool nights instead of this. Still though, I’m going to enjoy this . Nice tropical type weather that makes you want to head down to the beach and lay out . Water temps can’t be that cold yet down by the ocean , probably low 70s? I see 73 at Wrightsville beach , 82 in the Gulf Stream 10 miles offshore Hatteras.
I could deal with easily if we just had normal Oct DP's ....sick sick sick of humidity
 
I really love the sun angle this time of year. It makes it much easier to tolerate warm days. Not nearly as overbearing as it is in summer.
 
Because it’s not as hot as summer?
And that's largely due to the sun angle. Can you imagine how hot it would be if we had an 80 degree sun angle today as opposed to the 45 degree angle it currently is ? My biggest complaint about summer is how overpowering the sun is. Well that and the dews.
 
It’s really hellish on October snow accums
Honestly sun angle is not a huge issue where you are right now or at least I wouldn't think it would be. Your sun angle right now is equivalent to Atlanta's sun angle in late January.
 
I really wish I could find a site that had record warm lows for Chattanooga.. Also record cold highs. NOWDATA doesn't have that stat unfortunately. I know there is some kind of record of this, because local tv mets will sometimes tell us if we had a record warm low for the date.
 
I really wish I could find a site that had record warm lows for Chattanooga.. Also record cold highs. NOWDATA doesn't have that stat unfortunately. I know there is some kind of record of this, because local tv mets will sometimes tell us if we had a record warm low for the date.
Try and see if this site works: http://xmacis.rcc-acis.org/
 
NWS keeping hope alive here lol

It should be noted again that the last couple years our best winter was by mid November lol

The models continue to develop a deep low across the Desert
Southwest Monday night/Tuesday. There is still vast disagreement
on strength and movement of this feature which will ultimately
determine precipitation timing and amounts. Therefore, we will
continue to ride with the NBM. Regardless of which solution
verifies, North and Central Texas should be in for at least few
days of good rain chances along with very cool temperatures.
Obviously the forecast could change drastically in the coming days
and will be refined as confidence grows, but for now we will keep
temperatures above freezing in all zones through Wednesday and
all precipitation in liquid form.
 
NWS keeping hope alive here lol

It should be noted again that the last couple years our best winter was by mid November lol

The models continue to develop a deep low across the Desert
Southwest Monday night/Tuesday. There is still vast disagreement
on strength and movement of this feature which will ultimately
determine precipitation timing and amounts. Therefore, we will
continue to ride with the NBM. Regardless of which solution
verifies, North and Central Texas should be in for at least few
days of good rain chances along with very cool temperatures.
Obviously the forecast could change drastically in the coming days
and will be refined as confidence grows, but for now we will keep
temperatures above freezing in all zones through Wednesday and
all precipitation in liquid form.
NWS is the main thing keeping my hope alive at this point.


The temperature recovery will be short lived, as another cold front
is expected Sunday night into Monday. This cold front is a part of a
larger upper-level longwave trough that digs southward and develops
a closed upper-level cyclone and positive tilt through the region.
Temperatures behind this front will be particularly cold, bring
freezing temperatures through most of northern and western Oklahoma
and portions of central Oklahoma Sunday night/Monday morning, and
below freezing temperatures across western north Texas and most of
Oklahoma (except southeastern Oklahoma) Monday night/Tuesday morning
and Tuesday night into Wednesday. With current atmospheric profiles
within the models, wintry precipitation is possible throughout
northern, western, and central Oklahoma, as well as western north

Texas.97E5D336-3957-412A-B813-36C8DA77000C.png
 
NWS is the main thing keeping my hope alive at this point.


The temperature recovery will be short lived, as another cold front
is expected Sunday night into Monday. This cold front is a part of a
larger upper-level longwave trough that digs southward and develops
a closed upper-level cyclone and positive tilt through the region.
Temperatures behind this front will be particularly cold, bring
freezing temperatures through most of northern and western Oklahoma
and portions of central Oklahoma Sunday night/Monday morning, and
below freezing temperatures across western north Texas and most of
Oklahoma (except southeastern Oklahoma) Monday night/Tuesday morning
and Tuesday night into Wednesday. With current atmospheric profiles
within the models, wintry precipitation is possible throughout
northern, western, and central Oklahoma, as well as western north

Texas.View attachment 50784

I'll definitely be waiting for the NAM before I write anything off I mean the models always struggle with arctic air here
 
The warmest min temp max... 86, July 1888. Talk about yer muggy night.. Holy cow.

Edit: I wonder if that heat moved over to England in August, 1888, when Jack the Ripper started his murder spree.
 
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One thing that doesn’t look good, it’s that the best duo (UK/Euro) basically look the same, that’s a hard duo right there to beat
Right now it is the GFS/ICON Vs. UK/EURO. I think we know who will win, but I will give the UK/EURO until the 12z runs tomorrow until I quit.
 
Got a feeling this is going to be one of those extended above normal patterns that's followed up by cold. Just a hunch
Yeah, which is why gosh darn it I want it to be cold now instead of January . Cold now would mean 60s for highs and 40s and 30s for nights . That’s much better than cold in January
 
I just can't find the reason to complain after the great spring, mild summer (humid I know), and decent fall up until this point. If we have to deal with a week or two of high 70s and low 80s well, I'll live. I think we will get some opportunities come December.
 
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