Brent
Member
Yeah but the 2nd half of October and November last year were below average. Imagine how bad that map would have looked without that cold period!
It would legitimately be off that scale...Yeah but the 2nd half of October and November last year were below average. Imagine how bad that map would have looked without that cold period!
What a trend. LolSoutheast ridge go brrrrr ???View attachment 50733
Cold west warm east. Tends to be the theme every year. Maybe that will change soon.I swear i'm laughing at the hilarity of it all behind my tears of crushed dreams.
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I'm trying not to get mad because I know we need to flip the script from the past 2 years and torch end of October and November and see where that gets us come winter. But deep down I have a sinking feeling regardless of what Nov does we're going to find ourselves in the same sinking ship come winter!I swear i'm laughing at the hilarity of it all behind my tears of crushed dreams.
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It will be funny if it stays warm and doesn't flip until March.I'm trying not to get mad because I know we need to flip the script from the past 2 years and torch end of October and November and see where that gets us come winter. But deep down I have a sinking feeling regardless of what Nov does we're going to find ourselves in the same sinking ship come winter!
That would be hard to imagine. But nothing surprises me when it comes to finding ways to be warm around here! I could be wrong but it seems like when I was younger staring at TWC, patterns good or bad didn't lock in like they do now. Seems every 2-4 weeks you could guarantee it to flip.It will be funny if it stays warm and doesn't flip until March.
When wavelengths get longer, it'll be an east coast trough. We good.Southeast ridge go brrrrr ???View attachment 50733
I too worry that once we flip, that's all she wrote. It's so hard for us to dig out of that hole once its there. Last year I think my coldest stretch was that November cold snap. Once that SER sets up shop over head, it doesn't budge.I'm trying not to get mad because I know we need to flip the script from the past 2 years and torch end of October and November and see where that gets us come winter. But deep down I have a sinking feeling regardless of what Nov does we're going to find ourselves in the same sinking ship come winter!
I'm actually happy with this (and the forecasted) pattern. Some on here know my feelings that a cold late October and start to November is a death wish for winter. We don't want see early November cold shots (..with SC midlands snow). We want to hear folks complaining that they'll never see a freeze this year and a few that jump the cliff early. I'm sure anybody in the SC midlands would disagree...I'm trying not to get mad because I know we need to flip the script from the past 2 years and torch end of October and November and see where that gets us come winter. But deep down I have a sinking feeling regardless of what Nov does we're going to find ourselves in the same sinking ship come winter!
I'm actually happy with this (and the forecasted) pattern. Some on here know my feelings that a cold late October and start to November is a death wish for winter. We don't want see early November cold shots (..with SC midlands snow). We want to hear folks complaining that they'll never see a freeze this year and a few that jump the cliff early. I'm sure anybody in the SC midlands would disagree...
I don't understand why a warm Oct would lead to a cold Nov but a warm Dec wouldnt lead to a cold Jan ? Do patterns lock in more in the winter than in the fall ?same here. I actually looked into this earlier today but there does seem to be some correlation to warmNovember and a flip to cold for December and January.
Not all of them but most winters since 2014 had a similar pattern of:
Warm october
Cool novemner
Warm December and often that bleeds into a warm January
obviously it’s not quite as clear cut as that but that has been a theme.
so far we look to break that going into a warm start to November. Let’s keep it up. At this point I’ll take anything that’s not the same as the last few winters.
I don't understand why a warm Oct would lead to a cold Nov but a warm Dec wouldnt lead to a cold Jan ? Do patterns lock in more in the winter than in the fall ?
I'm sick and tired of this winter already and it's only October.
F**k the SE ridge.![]()
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Watch us end up with severe weather next week.Lol the euro isn't even that cold here now
Nah. I still say you will get hammered with snow.Watch us end up with severe weather next week.
The 18z GFS looks like it will give me something still, but without support of the Euro it’s hard to get too excited. Not completely given up yet though. Euro might reverse course tonight. If it stands pat through tomorrow then I surrender.Nah. I still say you will get hammered with snow.
If the euro reverses course tonight fire up the threadThe 18z GFS looks like it will give me something still, but without support of the Euro it’s hard to get too excited. Not completely given up yet though. Euro might reverse course tonight. If it stands pat through tomorrow then I surrender.
There’s no reason to for me. I’m not exactly in the southeast.If the euro reverses course tonight fire up the thread
It's called SouthernWx not SoutheasternWxThere’s no reason to for me. I’m not exactly in the southeast.
Yes I've said it before and I'll say it again I'm all for expanding to more regionsIf I move to Anchorage Alaska, can I still post here?
You ain't seen nothing yet. Wait until the last week of January and we're still snowless starting at the 15 day EPS showing and endless SER! That's when it'll get real in here!The pessimism and rage about a winter that is still 1.5 months away is astounding lol! Suppose this winter is warm , y’all are only extending the season of misery for yourselves more than it should . That’s assuming it’s warm lol.