This setup right off the bat looks better (north of the NC/SC border) than the Christmas event (per H5 on the NAM) Nam already has soundings more moist than what it showed With the with Christmas system, that system was just very moisture starved and totally reliant on Convective features (still got flurries here) but the low level drying killed it with virgaStill waiting for that elusive "lee-side" trough to form with one of these clipper-type systems. I would love to see another Jan 2003 event.
Hopefully this one gets better as we get closer and we pull a surprise