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Misc 2020/21 Fall and Winter Whamby Thread

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superjames1992 said:
Wonder how much next week’s cold snap moderates before go time? Think we can at least break 15? I don’t know if I’m holding my breath, we don’t get cold anymore. RDU still hasn’t broken 20 his winter, and didn’t last winter, either! Unreal!!!
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We'll bottom out around 21. Bet on it
 
Lickwx said:
I will too but we are getting the cold. Saw projections of a record la nina next winter. Warmest winter ever incoming next year.
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Actually I read Theodore White's page (astrometeorologist, aka Accumetweather) and he says the 2021-22 winter is going to be a polar vortex winter, and will be long and cold. IDK.
 
cd2play said:
Actually I read Theodore White's page (astrometeorologist, aka Accumetweather) and he says the 2021-22 winter is going to be a polar vortex winter, and will be long and cold. IDK.
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My post was totally tongue in cheek though the projections for the record strong Nina were not. We should go ahead and fire up a thread for next winter!
 
We could hit golf balls with wedges next week, have tornado wedges from the sky, or have a CAD wedge East of the mountains, what a fun and predictable pattern in the medium range
 
Lickwx said:
This cold blast has trended very far east. Now it looks like the western parts of the south miss out. It went from coming down over Minnesota to now over the UP region of Michigan. That's weird, but the western parts of the south are more due for cold than any other region. Couple more shifts like that and it will look like last weeks PV press where only the northeast got cold.
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2665F182-367D-4061-AE90-095BDA9BA436.gif
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
View attachment 69808
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What, have you not noticed run by run it has been digging less south and more southeast. Could be another northeast NC is cold SW NC is not deal. The Gfs has a rather climo unfavored solution with the bottom of the trough happening right over the apps, and no moderating at all as it goes east over NC. It completely mutes the mountains, air wants to take the path with least resistance but the Gfs completely ignores that.


gfs_z500aNorm_us_fh150-168.gif
 
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Lickwx said:
What, have you not noticed run by run it has been digging less south and more southeast. Could be another northeast NC is cold SW NC is not deal. The Gfs has a rather climo unfavored solution with the bottom of the trough happening right over the apps, and no moderating at all as it goes east over NC. It completely mutes the mountains, air wants to take the path with least resistance but the Gfs completely ignores that


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Meh FE8CD5AE-4EE3-4866-A764-6D92B1FB8669.gifA08CA853-1B13-4EFB-A86C-665EC597C3F2.gifbut that could actually be a good thing, if you get the TPV north to a point where it delivers cold, but can also allow some overrunning
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Meh View attachment 69814View attachment 69815but that could actually be a good thing, if you get the TPV north to a point where it delivers cold, but can also allow some overrunning
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Thats good for less people though, id be sweating a bit if I lived in Alabama/Miss. The way it digs is less favorable on these newer runs, needs to dig south further west for them instead of digging southeast across Indiana, wv,apps.
 
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