Sone of this is due to a warm 2 m bias for GEFS.
Western tip of Florida getting more snow than me here just SE of the Wake County gradient? Yeah, it will verify.Better chance of winning the lottery then getting this. Miller A on steroids.
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I'm not a fan of the pressure anomalies.
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Agree. Models are just bad period. But I would sooooo much rather have fantasy storms. At least it gives you some hope!It's funny that people complained about the models being bad because there were so many fantasy storms now that the models are better there are less fantasy storms and people complain about no fantasy storms
Meh agree to disagree on that. I'd rather see 37 and rain and hope maybe it's snow than 16 inches from the gfs for 5 days only to see it fold at the last secondAgree. Models are just bad period. But I would sooooo much rather have fantasy storms. At least it gives you some hope!
It's funny that people complained about the models being bad because there were so many fantasy storms now that the models are better there are less fantasy storms and people complain about no fantasy storms
What'd we get from this, 0?This is by far my favorite mean from last year.
Pattern - Winter 2019/2020 Model Archive
18z 1/6 GFS Nice GFS overrunning event. Textbook Wake county gradientsouthernwx.com
View attachment 61832View attachment 61833View attachment 61834Pattern - Winter 2019/2020 Model Archive
18z 1/6 GFS Nice GFS overrunning event. Textbook Wake county gradientsouthernwx.com
Correct, it trended to a SER.What'd we get from this, 0?
Got 0.00000 from that. Just shows you they don’t mean much sometimes.This is by far my favorite mean from last year.
Pattern - Winter 2019/2020 Model Archive
18z 1/6 GFS Nice GFS overrunning event. Textbook Wake county gradientsouthernwx.com
View attachment 61832View attachment 61833View attachment 61834Pattern - Winter 2019/2020 Model Archive
18z 1/6 GFS Nice GFS overrunning event. Textbook Wake county gradientsouthernwx.com
Can't remember what year it was... 2015/16 I think. GEFS mean and all ensembles had my over 6 inches 24 hours from event. I got 0 ??Got 0.00000 from that. Just shows you they don’t mean much sometimes.
It's funny that people complained about the models being bad because there were so many fantasy storms now that the models are better there are less fantasy storms and people complain about no fantasy storms
Expectations are to high and impatience is running higher than me last nightThe fantasy snowstorm is a cornerstone to the weenie (and whamby) psyche, it seems. If the models don't show snow at D10+ the pattern must suck! I don't get all the cliff diving right now. Sorry there aren't pretty 10:1 maps to look at? This pattern we're looking at is the best we've had so far this winter (+ last) and we've got peak climatology on our side. I won't blame you if you jump after not having anything to track in another week or two.
That one a straight kick in the nuts here tooThis easily topped Dec 2000 for disappointment. I keep these on my phone to always remember. RDU was in the jackpot at time of event.
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Why you digging up old bonesThis easily topped Dec 2000 for disappointment. I keep these on my phone to always remember. RDU was in the jackpot at time of event.
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With your highs not getting out of the 30s the next 2 weeks, i have a feeling that snow will have a lot of staying power.Freezing fog / rime iceView attachment 61846
Yep! It was 17 degrees this morning and dense fog!With your highs not getting out of the 30s the next 2 weeks, i have a feeling that snow will have a lot of staying power.