December 2010 was pretty awesome looking at the stats 11 highs in the 30s at RDU and 2 snow events
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2020-2021 Winter: Early Thoughts
- Thread starter Fountainguy97
- Start date
I thought this was going to be a mild to moderate La Niña.
avlsnow
Member
Last report from a week ago says moderate to strong.
D
Deleted member 1449
Guest
Read it and weep!
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Give me every bad forecast possible. They all did horrible when they said we'd have blockbuster winters so I'll take my chances on having the opposite.
Winter forecasts are like political polls. You can say a certain candidate will win all day, but the election is the only thing that matters.
tennessee storm
Member
Yeah chances of a strong Niña increasing substantially
SimeonNC
Member
The January 2017 storm literally pissed me off lol, I was hyped for like 6-10 inches of snow and I kept waiting and waiting for the sleet to changeover but it never did.
Bring it.
SimeonNC
Member
The last strong Nina was 2010-11.
NoSnowATL
Member
Bingo!
Strong La Nina (-1.5 or colder peak) winters per the linked table: average 2-2.5 F warmer than normal. No big deal. I'll enjoy the winter just because it is the winter and way colder than any other season, the most enjoyable season with plenty of wild changes and many pleasant days even in a warmer than normal winter. Also, some of you may even luck out and get a big winter storm as more often than not there will be one somewhere at some point, especially in NC/TN:
https://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff/ONI_v5.php
2010-1, 2007-8, 1999-2000, 1998-9, 1988-9, 1975-6, 1973-4, 1955-6, 1949-50
https://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff/ONI_v5.php
2010-1, 2007-8, 1999-2000, 1998-9, 1988-9, 1975-6, 1973-4, 1955-6, 1949-50
NoSnowATL
Member
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
NOAA releases its winter outlook tomorrow.
I'm betting they are going to do warm and dry for the Southeast.
Brent
Member
I could deal with 10-11 one of the snowiest winters recently here
Including the ice and snow week when the Super Bowl was here
Including the ice and snow week when the Super Bowl was here
D
Deleted member 1449
Guest
My guess is a cold December and torch the rest of the way.
Jessy89
Member
I could kinda see more ice then snow in southeast. Seems like we are due one
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
indeed. If there is going to be one cold month, strong La Nina climo says Dec would be the most likely month. Actually, DEC, alone, for the 9 strong La Ninas averaged near normal vs the solid AN of Jan and Feb when the SER tends to take over.
I'd like a cold December. Aside from 2017 every December since 2011 has been warmer than normal for practically all of the SE US.