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Misc 2019 Banter & Friendly Conservation

People who think they're so smart should just take a minute to contemplate what they say. Seriously doubt anybody on here would pick golf or any sport over life-threatening weather. We have awesome technology and information at our fingertips so speaking only for myself would never flippantly dismiss a serious situation.

This is banter after all so if you feel the need to chastise somebody make sure you know what you're talking about..
 
Why????? For stratoform rain, scary!978A0D51-5B5D-4303-BDCD-9BBABF74E84F.png
 
LetItSnow said:
People who think they're so smart should just take a minute to contemplate what they say. Seriously doubt anybody on here would pick golf or any sport over life-threatening weather. We have awesome technology and information at our fingertips so speaking only for myself would never flippantly dismiss a serious situation.

This is banter after all so if you feel the need to chastise somebody make sure you know what you're talking about..
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Considering a large tornado was just confirmed and damage reported, probably a good idea they had the coverage on eh? Tornado just missed me by about 10-15 miles. I’m thankful they kept us updated.
 
Snowflowxxl said:
Considering a large tornado was just confirmed and damage reported, probably a good idea they had the coverage on eh? Tornado just missed me by about 10-15 miles. I’m thankful they kept us updated.
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Two different situations, don't mix them up.
 
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LetItSnow said:
The storm had already spun down, the warning was for too long. Now who's the idiot..
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Tbh it doesn’t really matter, a storm that has spun down can easily cycle, heck with as much SRH (200+ m2/s2) and big hodos as we had, anything can spin back up, no wonder I hate severe weather so much, it can just stay away from here, and next week looks dangerous aswell
 
LetItSnow said:
People who think they're so smart should just take a minute to contemplate what they say. Seriously doubt anybody on here would pick golf or any sport over life-threatening weather. We have awesome technology and information at our fingertips so speaking only for myself would never flippantly dismiss a serious situation.

This is banter after all so if you feel the need to chastise somebody make sure you know what you're talking about..
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My parents are 75 and 78 yrs old respectively and while they have some knowledge and use of technology they aren't nearly as versed in it, especially the weather models, apps, sites, etc as we are... if there was the slightest threat of a tornado and they were watching tv, interrupting regular programming might save their life. Just food for thought

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I can't even imagine what it's like to see a legitimate snowpack on the ground for 155 days in a row, while I (& most of us) like snow, we probably have our limits where we'd all go crazy and I definitely think nearly half a year would be well beyond my breaking point.

It's too bad we can't get snow to stick around here for 155 seconds much less the same amount of hours or days.

 
GaWx said:
Prediction: the Palm Sunday weekend severe wx outbreak will not meet the most dire expectations. Believe it or not, I'm partially using past posts of @Brick Tamland from other severe wx threats as guidance. With this outbreak appearing to be so dire, the odds imo favor that we will be pleasantly surprised. The worst outbreaks are often not forecasted such as was the case last month and vice versa. I think it has a lot to do with model biases that show up at this point in advance and thus mislead. So, I'm going with some severe wx, including tornadoes....so be on guard…..but nowhere near one of the worst. Let's see what actually happens.
Is anyone else going to make a similar prediction?
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What is the verdict? Did the Palm Sunday weekend meet the most dire predictions? Did the @Brick Tamland rule work out this time or not? I’m talking the Fri-Sun period for the entire area from TX through NC averaged out, not just somebody’s own area. One thing I can say with high certainty is that LA very fortunately didn’t even come close to how bad it was looking on models. I clearly remember that state being targeted to be hit the hardest. But what about the entire area as a whole? TX and MS may have. What about other states? These verifications are vital in general for helping out with future predictions.
 
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GaWx said:
What is the verdict? Did the Palm Sunday weekend meet the most dire predictions? Did the @Brick Tamland rule work out this time or not? I’m talking the Fri-Sun period for the entire area from TX through NC averaged out, not just somebody’s own area. One thing I can say with high certainty is that LA very fortunately didn’t even come close to how bad it was looking on models. I clearly remember that state being targeted to be hit the hardest. But what about the entire area as a whole? TX and MS may have. What about other states? These verifications are vital for helping out with future predictions.
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19 tornadoes, 1 EF2, 1EF3, 2 deaths as of now.


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NoSnowATL said:
19 tornadoes, 1 EF2, 1EF3, 2 deaths as of now.
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Thanks for the stats. It was expected there’d be tornadoes. But how do these statistics compare to the most dire model based predictions for the weekend overall for the entire area from TX to NC? Worse, about as expected, or not as bad as expected? Keep in mind that there were some very bad expectations.
 
GaWx said:
Thanks for the stats. It was expected there’d be tornadoes. But how do these statistics compare to the most dire model based predictions for the weekend?
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It’s a hard question to answer, I’m sure the families that lost a love one thinks it was the worst event ever. In terms of weather I don’t think it was that bad but it was never going to be bad east of Alabama. We always over hype every event theses days so it makes hard for any storm to live up to the hype. I don’t trust models, I trust experienced Mets and most around here didn’t seem worried.


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NoSnowATL said:
It’s a hard question to answer, I’m sure the families that lost a love one thinks it was the worst event ever. In terms of weather I don’t think it was that bad but it was never going to be bad east of Alabama. We always over hype every event theses days so it makes hard for any storm to live up to the hype. I don’t trust models, I trust experienced Mets and most around here didn’t seem worried.


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Thanks for your reply. I realize there often is overhype but what about the worst event of last month? I think saying events are always overhyped is not correct. I recall last month may have actually been underhyped overall due to the terrible hits in AL and GA. Am I remembering that correctly?
 
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