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Misc 2019 Banter & Friendly Conservation

Well in that case.
Week 3. Zonal flow and average
Week 4. A literal torch and much above normal
Week 5. Above normal by some
Week 6. Below normal but not by much

Well, you kind of got week 6 right at least.
 
Happy bday to me :(
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Looks toasty
 
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I'm usually pretty cautiously optimistic with these potential winter storm setups, but for whatever reason, I'm not feelin' it for this weekend. I think with the weekend storm I just get leery of any time we have to depend on phasing of any kind here. I know it can work, iirc 12/25/2010 had a partial phase. GA is like the geographical textbook definition of a state that's stuck between a rock and a hard place. If a phase occurs too far west were screwed, if it happens too far east, we likely get dry slotted and still screwed. I think at the end of the day, our Carolina folks will do well with this storm, but I have a big ? for anyone west of them. I know this post comes off as whining (hence why it's here), but I personally don't like these kind of setups for a GA snow producer. I rather roll the dice on an overrunning event with a nice HP anchored over NY/PA bleeding fresh, arctic air along the eastern side of the Apps.

Long story short, my scapegoat for our lack of wintry weather is Glenn Burns. He obviously screwed us for calling for a brutal winter last month. lmao
 
I'm pretty sure it was 2009 as it was around when I got started on weather forums. I don't remember all the details but whew, it was showing a big time storm that just poofed.

And lol, I love this picture so much, if we swing and miss on these next two possible time periods completely this might be my next avatar, although it'd be copycatting:

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I'm usually pretty cautiously optimistic with these potential winter storm setups, but for whatever reason, I'm not feelin' it for this weekend. I think with the weekend storm I just get leery of any time we have to depend on phasing of any kind here. I know it can work, iirc 12/25/2010 had a partial phase. GA is like the geographical textbook definition of a state that's stuck between a rock and a hard place. If a phase occurs too far west were screwed, if it happens too far east, we likely get dry slotted and still screwed. I think at the end of the day, our Carolina folks will do well with this storm, but I have a big ? for anyone west of them. I know this post comes off as whining (hence why it's here), but I personally don't like these kind of setups for a GA snow producer. I rather roll the dice on an overrunning event with a nice HP anchored over NY/PA bleeding fresh, arctic air along the eastern side of the Apps.

Long story short, my scapegoat for our lack of wintry weather is Glenn Burns. He obviously screwed us for calling for a brutal winter last month. lmao

1993 was the very rare time a phase(in fact a triple phase) occured and benefited GA where Atlanta and NW GA got hit with the CCB deformation band(the type of snows NYC and Boston get during their Nor'easters). It takes a very rare set of circumstances to occur. It's why Atlanta doesn't have any 12+ inch snowstorms on record where as even places like Macon do. Atlanta is in a poor position where it doesn't benefit from early phasers or phasers that occur in the Atlantic and it can't get rich enough moisture from the gulf without warming the mid-levels too much. We can get a bunch of small-moderate events, but never that grand slam event where Atlanta is sitting in knee deep snow.
 
I'm pretty sure it was 2009 as it was around when I got started on weather forums. I don't remember all the details but whew, it was showing a big time storm that just poofed.

And lol, I love this picture so much, if we swing and miss on these next two possible time periods completely this might be my next avatar, although it'd be copycatting:

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I sure you are right. That was a bad year all together for central Bama. Storms did hit but usu to far north or to far south for mby that year. To bad TW crashed. Lost a lot of great threads and memories there.
 
Considering so many tv mets will base forecasts off the gfs, can you imagine how much different their conversations would be right now were it not for the gov't shutdown? Isn't it weird none of them, none I've seen anyway, mention the fv3......are they not allowed too?

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One of the OP runs are gonna show a complete paste job similar to what the Euro ensembles showed yesterday, within the next few days.
 
One of the OP runs are gonna show a complete paste job similar to what the Euro ensembles showed yesterday, within the next few days.

FV3 has waffled between wide right and a pasting, I kinda have a feeling, since I'm trying to keep things tempered (though Chris is all in and Arcc throwing around a 2/12/10 like scenario isn't helping!) that the FV3 is going to have another big run at 0z, outside of eastern SC and part of NC.
 
Glenn burns actually irritates me, this dude said only a chance for snow flurries but other than that wait till feb, I’m sorry but he got me ----** up, i see why storm5 would IP ban him
 
1993 was the very rare time a phase(in fact a triple phase) occured and benefited GA where Atlanta and NW GA got hit with the CCB deformation band(the type of snows NYC and Boston get during their Nor'easters). It takes a very rare set of circumstances to occur. It's why Atlanta doesn't have any 12+ inch snowstorms on record where as even places like Macon do. Atlanta is in a poor position where it doesn't benefit from early phasers or phasers that occur in the Atlantic and it can't get rich enough moisture from the gulf without warming the mid-levels too much. We can get a bunch of small-moderate events, but never that grand slam event where Atlanta is sitting in knee deep snow.

Yeah, I didn't want to mention Superstorm '93 since like you said it's such a very rare setup with a triple phase. Even in that storm the southside where the airport is got royally screwed only getting 4 inches, whereas the northside did get 12+ inches. Since you brought it up it really is mind blowing that the biggest snowfall and only double digit snowfall (10 inches) recorded for Atlanta occurred nearly 80 years ago (January 1940) and yet Columbus, Macon, Dublin, and Augusta that average less snowfall than we do in an average winter season have all had 12+ inch snowfalls in years past.
 
Glenn burns actually irritates me, this dude said only a chance for snow flurries but other than that wait till feb, I’m sorry but he got me ----** up, i see why storm5 would IP ban him

He is literally the worst. There is a special place in the basement of the news studio for him and those of his ilk.


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