• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Misc 2019 Banter & Friendly Conservation

The good thing is that on Wednesday temps are forecast to be above freezing with lots of sunshine. So roads should be greatly improved by Wed afternoon.
 
Honestly, I dont see anything wrong with what Glenn posted. He said there is no winter storm in sight. I dont think most would consider a dusting to an inch a winter storm. This is basically a strong cold front which happens to have a little bit of light precip to accompany it.
 
I am making a snowboarding trip to Sugar Mountain this Tuesday. I am new to the area and curious how well that area of the NC mountains would historical do with a snowfall setup like this?
 
Oh no, we suck in February again! Weeklies Week 3-4 though have looked awesome for like 2 months! Can't wait until it gets here....wait a minute...!!??

1548428795930.png
 
Pants exploding because a low formed for Wednesday / Thursday
LOL! That just means more rain! :(
 
The GFS around hr 114/120 is one of the most infuriating things I've seen so far
 
Rain Cold said:
Gotcha. Thanks. People are always bashing him, so I was just wondering.

We have a guy around here, Greg Fishel, who has been here forever. He used to be really good and his forecasts used to be much more substantive, especially with big events or big event potential. Now, it's pretty much just straight up ensemble forecasting. I guess that's the safe thing to do and gives you a fallback for something to blame if things turn out wrong. You can fall back on probabilities or bad models or whatever. Either way, it allows you to escape actually incorporating your own forecasting skills into the outlook, which I guess is what TV wants. It's pretty sad and disappointing, actually.
Click to expand...


I remember him. He started there at WRAL in '81. I was 8 years old when we moved to Wilson. WRAL was the station my dad watch for news and stuff. I liked him because we were both named Greg. Went through some good snows with him through out the 80's.
 
Tagat said:
I remember him. He started there at WRAL in '81. I was 8 years old when we moved to Wilson. WRAL was the station my dad watch for news and stuff. I liked him because we were both named Greg. Went through some good snows with him through out the 80's.
Click to expand...
Yep! He's a nice guy and fun to be around, but TV has changed a lot, and as he's gotten older, he's gotten really risk averse.
 
Rain Cold said:
Gotcha. Thanks. People are always bashing him, so I was just wondering.

We have a guy around here, Greg Fishel, who has been here forever. He used to be really good and his forecasts used to be much more substantive, especially with big events or big event potential. Now, it's pretty much just straight up ensemble forecasting. I guess that's the safe thing to do and gives you a fallback for something to blame if things turn out wrong. You can fall back on probabilities or bad models or whatever. Either way, it allows you to escape actually incorporating your own forecasting skills into the outlook, which I guess is what TV wants. It's pretty sad and disappointing, actually.
Click to expand...

Always start by saying it won't be much of anything if anything at all, then change to we're watching it, then forecast and inch or two, and then up the totals if needed as the storm unfolds.
 
ForsythSnow said:
A run or two and you think it's over for ATL even for Feb? That's a dangerous call. I expect you to come back on that comment within 2 weeks.
Click to expand...
After Mid Feb it will be over. Maybe 3 more weeks to score. Time is ticking. That sun angle is getting higher by the day.
 
When all u got is the CMC and GEFS, that’s a slam dunk! :(
 
Rain Cold said:
Gotcha. Thanks. People are always bashing him, so I was just wondering.

We have a guy around here, Greg Fishel, who has been here forever. He used to be really good and his forecasts used to be much more substantive, especially with big events or big event potential. Now, it's pretty much just straight up ensemble forecasting. I guess that's the safe thing to do and gives you a fallback for something to blame if things turn out wrong. You can fall back on probabilities or bad models or whatever. Either way, it allows you to escape actually incorporating your own forecasting skills into the outlook, which I guess is what TV wants. It's pretty sad and disappointing, actually.
Click to expand...
Yeah, I haven't watched one of his forecasts in years. I already know where the rain/snow line is going to be. All he needs to do is take a crayon and draw the rain/snow line on top of the Wake/Johnston County line and he will get about 99% of his winter storm forecasts correct.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top