Brent
Member
LR GFS is having happy hour this eveningView attachment 19584
If you look at past run they both have had disturbances since around 18z yesterday but we need to keep track to see if they keep showing a systemThe FV GFS really having happy hour
View attachment 19585
40% now in next 5 days
Yeah looks like a pacific hurricane quickly crosses over Central America and heads NE. Not really a threat to the US but still.GFS has been consistently showing tropical development in the Western Caribbean.
Actually FWIW 6z run of the normal GFS has a disorganized tropical system entering the gulf at the same time as the Fv3 bringing a lot of rain to Florida. May be something to watch.Now it has a hurricane that just misses NC to the east. Fv3 being the Fv3. Lol.View attachment 19738
Yes I've been noticing the same thing. Coupe runs in a row gfs have something in the gulf.Actually FWIW 6z run of the normal GFS has a disorganized tropical system entering the gulf at the same time as the Fv3 bringing a lot of rain to Florida. May be something to watch.
FV3 loves to over exaggerate things it looks like. Over exaggerated cold blasts in winter and now over exaggerated tropical systems.