Not much better up this way!
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Wintry 1/9-12 Winter Potential Great Dane or Yorkie
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Yeah the Euro AI is a little more out ahead of the baja wave with the C Plains trough diving down (colder)
Avalanche
Member
We need Brick to confirm this assessment
Euro AI is actually similar to ICON temperature wise, but they go about it a little differently - ICON is colder in N GA
Tokenfreak
Member
GFS 0z running now. I don't expect much for the deep south, but we shall see. *Fingers Crossed*
Forevertothee
Member
Can you tell me how it looked for Clinton? Any snow or mostly ice or rain?
If I had to guess it’s going to start going in the opposite direction towards a middle ground but we shall see.
It's a complex and clumsy setup. A phase is going to screw some portion of our membership. The best bang for the buck for the most people is a southern slider, but it sort of looks like that solution is off the table for this event.
at hour 48, gfs much faster with the s/w so far. similar strength give or take
Faster is better
I would consider the Euro AI a west to east slider though with the central plains wave dropping down a little ahead of the baja wave that is kicking out...but the storm is maybe at a higher latitude than what you are referring to (not in deep south)
temp wise, along with phasing of the wave
it looks a hair warmer if you squint but nothing i would be concerned about
JLL1973
Member
00z look alot like 18z too me
at hour 84, lol so much for that, more or less at the same position as previous runs for our cutoff. no real other glaring changes yet
edit- listen to grit his maps are ahead of mine
edit- listen to grit his maps are ahead of mine
Sizeable diff here on the GFS this run
rburrel2
Member
I'll give my two cents. Less stream interaction at hr102 b/c the northern vort is farther out ahead of the cut off... should mean good things for us down the road.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
The two waves might still phase this run, but it looks closer to missing to my eyes personally.
Edit: It whiffed and left the cutoff behind.
Edit: It whiffed and left the cutoff behind.
Yeah more different. Also the GL/confleunce is further SW this run 
True...I'm just unfairly discounting that model right now.I would consider the Euro AI a west to east slider though with the central plains wave dropping down a little ahead of the baja wave that is kicking out...but the storm is maybe at a higher latitude than what you are referring to (not in deep south)
Cannot stress how much better this looks 
A good bit of difference this run with the GFS....not phasing into the backside of the baja wave (so it's a little colder out front)
JHS
Member
Going to be much slower this run I think.
going to be honest, given the trends, was not expecting the gfs to backslide into cutting the low into baja again
Flatter look here relatively speaking
that’s different 
NCSNOW
Member
Gonna be a nice un up this way
This looks closer the the 12z UKMET
I'm all for counting the AI models TBH. Latest technology / good verification scores. ECMWF is putting a lot of their efforts going forward into them. GFS here lines up well with the Euro AI
ForsythSnow
Moderator
We're so back!
No mixing
ChattaVOL
Member