Holy crap, GFS is absolutely dumping on North Georgia.
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Wintry 1/9-12 Winter Potential Great Dane or Yorkie
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
GFS = WOW
Nerman
Member
She's a beaut Clarke
iGRXY
Member
We completely left the ULL off into Baja and let the northern stream energy take over.
Baja wave held back and that kicker dropped in much further east up in the NW and gave us that flat slider look. This fixed every bit of that WAA we had been seeing the last several days. Oh boy..
iGRXY
Member
I’m crying these models legit are off a perc 30 man.
NCSNOW
Member
Thats the ticket gets just a hair tick of juice , which is all it needs and no massive waa
Darklordsuperstorm
Member
Flo
Member
Seriously how is this even possible for central GA and SC? I’ll never understand the back and forth in models.
JHS
Member
With temps of 33-35 snow may fall but will not accumulate much.
whatalife
Moderator
WOW! 
wow
Member
There were several ensemble panels that have been showing this as an option so not a huge surprise. But I'm all for it!
NCSNOW
Member
999 off the coast
LovingGulfLows
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
- Messages
- 1,376
- Reaction score
- 3,613
Weenie run for my backyard for sure. It's pretty obvious now what needs to happen, at least for my backyard and folks in the ATL area. Leave the Baja SW behind and let the northern stream energy do it's thing. That's where I'm going to hedge my bets at.
Best option at this point to avoid temp profile issues, lighter amounts sure but for many it means all snow
0z GFS went towards the 18z GEFS run. Can’t wait to see the 0z GEFS.
NCSNOW
Member
Tokenfreak
Member
The GFS surprised me I have to say. It was a good run. I just hope it continues to come a little further deeper south with the snow...but looking better.
under discussed feature is that the orientation of the baja low points an atmospheric river at us. that's what allows this thing to be a qpf nuke even with so/so forcing. the funny thing is, and i think 1300m others would agree with me here, is that we are absolutely not at the ceiling of this event.
NCSNOW
Member
Final. Still backsiding in mtns
Its really the temps, showing Charlotte 32 while Columbia 33, I tick down 1-2 could make this a massive system, a shift in the opposite, ruins this
iGRXY
Member
Oh man. I would be thrilled with the GFS. Here’s the 3 hour precip type
NCSNOW
Member
Another round loading up for a few days latter
Tokenfreak
Member
Question for those that know. So the 540 line here shows rain on both sides of it in SC. I thought the 540 line meant it was cold to snow if it was below it? Is this just displayed wrong and that rain is really snow or is it really rain and I just don't understand lol?
Attachments
Kicker east. Baja west. 50/50 low stay. This is the recipe. We can do it
canadian is a whiff just fyi
its the CMC, it always does this then 1-2 days out it with trend north like CRAZY!!!
Good
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Why not to live and die by each run and analyze the trends and consistencies. There's a shorter way to go but the GEFS showing more good runs is also a sign we were looking for.