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Wintry 1/9-12 Winter Potential Great Dane or Yorkie

Models are playing darts right now with all the solutions that they have thrown out over past 3-4 days. I guess we just can't really count to heavily anything until we get data on how the snow pack and energy coming into play is digested truly into how things will be overall in south. It seems like there no accounted CAD for whatever reason right now on any models
 
Not wish-casting, however with all the new advances in technology since the Carolina Crusher over 20 years ago it’s still very difficult to forecast snow potential in the Carolinas. How many times have we had forecasted snows only for it to not work out. Inversely how many times through the years where we have had surprise systems to blanket many of our areas. Everyone should just take a deep breath, relax and enjoy the ride, it’s still fairly early. I have a feeling this one may be one of those surprise systems.


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rburrel2 said:
Icon drops 2 inches of snow on you Friday night... Sleet line makes it about to your house right as precip is ending. (worst case it's more sleet and less snow, but still a decent winter storm).
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True looking at the qpf maps it's not terrible here. I hope it's under done honestly. It feels like a glancing blow and hopefully the low end potential.
 
packfan98 said:
RGEM looked to have a big phase going on at the end of the run.
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c03ae61f5a119f940a9d8a88720137d0.gif

N/S wave was on the move pretty quick at the end


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Chazwin said:
I honestly wouldn’t be too worried about snow being able to accumulate during the day with this potential, even if it’s light. Lows will be well down into the 20s every night this week and only in the 40-45 degree range during the day so the ground is plenty cold enough. Also we still have fairly low sun angles.
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It had absolutely no issues sticking yesterday
 
In the KRDU discussion it was mentioned that temperatures were going to be the issue with this storm. Even though artic air will still be in place, the lack of a strong high pressure over New England to lock it in might be what prevents this from being a all snow event. It was somewhat bullish about the threat of winter precipitation but seemed to indicate that it would be the mixed type rather than a measurable snow.
 
ILMRoss said:
it's early and this may be premature but none of these changes look good and beneficial for anybody on the board. pos tilt strung out mess coming right up
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i may have spoke too soon, stronger northern stream may right this, and this general angle is ok

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but the stronger/slower ull really spooked me at first

edit - shutting up this is one of my wrongest calls ever lol
 
LMFAOOOOOOOO I'm so serious when I say this, please stop living and dying by every model run. These things are so bad even in the medium range. It is never ever ever ever smart to think things won't trend more amped and North especially 4-5 days out. Is there a time or 2 every blue moon that it doesn't? Sure, but if you had to lay a bet down on more amped and NW vs sheared out, which are y'all taking?
 
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