Cook bro
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Wintry 1/9-12 Winter Potential Great Dane or Yorkie
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Great way to kick start 2025!
Storm5
Member
Vodka cold post 1/10
StoneColdHeel
Member
wow
Member
Damn i miss tracking SE snow storms. It's like this every single storm. It's been 3+ years but this is how it is!
StoneColdHeel
Member
Snowlover34
Member
I wonder what it would take for the areas north of I-20 to get in on the action seems like just cold and dry
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Cold/dry or a big dog are probably more likely solutions than most anything in between here.
Go big or go home.
Go big or go home.
Pull the northern stream back some, allow separation and ride with a more amped southern wave or phase the northern stream into the southern wave.
SnowmasterATL
Member
that too complicated lol
It's a nice run. It sacrifices a wave into the SW and throws it back out into the Pacific (lol), then gives us a better western ridge placement and track with a follow-up wave dropping down from Idaho to E Webb-land, then moves it east. Beautiful Greenland block
Stormlover
Member
Just goes to show there can be more than one way to skin a cat during the right pattern. Also, did you notice the low went from 999 off the coast of Charleston to 967 by around Delmarva? Man, the potential here.It's a nice run. It sacrifices a wave into the SW and throws it back out into the Pacific (lol), then gives us a better western ridge placement and track with a follow-up wave dropping down from Idaho to E Webb-land, then moves it east. Beautiful Greenland block
My thinking is it would get cold behind that pull away too.
CMC was close here too
If the euro run comes in close to these two might be on to something
CMC did the same thing as the GFS. Sacrificed a wave and threw it back out into the Pacific, then dropped a follow-up wave into the broad eastern trough
Euro AI has been hittin it though
The good thing about that scenario is that it will help keep the PNA ridge in place for the next wave coming over the top.
Pilotwx
Member
The foothills regions of NC and VA have only had a few runs of any models that have showed us getting much snow, we have seen several with FZ. This is setting up for an Central to Eastern NC , Central SC, and most areas of VA snow except foothills region. Models have latched on to areas that will not see favorable setup for days now.
Pilotwx
Member
Pattern does seem favorable for a Carolina Crusher type storm at some point in the next few weeks
I mean, I hear you and all, but this is 10 days away. Anything and everything can change between now and then
iGRXY
Member
You do realize this is still like 10 days plus out right? Models haven’t latched onto anything because they change every run.
You were right. Euro drops the wave down too far east. No storm, then wrecks the pattern thereafter. Happy New Year!
Surprised no one has posted the GEFS totals yet. Definitely an uptick in gulf lows and precip, so I’m guessing they will be pretty good for the gulf coast.
Pilotwx
Member
Yes, 10 days away. NW flow across mountains with cold coming in dries moisture up, that is pretty much on all models that's why we will have record cold long term 10 plus days . High pressure is shoving everything south an east in that's what the models are showing right now models have latched onto this idea. That's what the maps are saying not the ones that are showing moisture and types. Short to mid we have chances of ice look at bending iso bars they are coming down east side of mountains storm looks to cut.
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StoneColdHeel
Member
Yeah, this Euro run doesn't have anything at all for this period.
EPS looks improved for this timeframe in light of that bad euro run. Means pretty far south across much of the SE and higher QPF
StoneColdHeel
Member
Is the Barney cold showing up on any of the models tonight?
GEFS snow mean definitely increased from 18z to 0z for this period.
wow
Member
HAPPY NEW YEAR!
This EPS run was a big improvement in both aspects, from 12z for the threat and in general for the cold. for the system of interest
Energy trended back west, and slightly better tilted, if the southern stream doesn’t want to work, then we need a nicely tilted northern stream S/W trof to dig to our west, and the EPS showcased that better this run. Nice increase in hits for the SE (note that’s not the entire mean that’s just the mean from last 5 days during the storm signal.)
EPS also trended way colder, some 2m Barney’s to our NW with a strip of insanely cold temps entering the oh valley for a ens mean.
Conclusion - I can sleep in peace with this look
Energy trended back west, and slightly better tilted, if the southern stream doesn’t want to work, then we need a nicely tilted northern stream S/W trof to dig to our west, and the EPS showcased that better this run. Nice increase in hits for the SE (note that’s not the entire mean that’s just the mean from last 5 days during the storm signal.)
EPS also trended way colder, some 2m Barney’s to our NW with a strip of insanely cold temps entering the oh valley for a ens mean.
Conclusion - I can sleep in peace with this look
whatalife
Moderator
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CNCsnwfan1210
Member
Nice hit for many on the board all in less than 10 days from now. This is by far the best time period for us.
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00z EPS and GEFS were great and that 06z operational above is beautiful. Happy New Year! Let’s keep it up today!
NEGaweather
Member
06z GEFS still has good signal. More hits south this run. Good look at 9 days
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