Deltadog03 said:Webberweather53 said:Deltadog03 said:it appears the euro is slower bring precipitation in here. doesn't really get here until after midnight sat am...all others are showing friday afternoon. I think the euro is only have a little overrunning precipitation back toward TN and northern ms and al....euro really doesn't push much of that, but really starts to crank it once the low gets going. Still some big questions on what is going to happen. GFS builds in a high and delivers more cold down before hand, plus flatter so the cold can push. EURO starts that, but since its stronger overall, it starts tilting everything from NE to SW and the cold push stops until the low gets going. By that time, its almost game over for all outside of NGA MTNS, upstate and NC.....just how I see it right now.
I agree Chris, i suspect the slower solution on the euro is one likely reason why it was a tad colder across the SE US, allowed the oncoming arctic airmass to settle in a bit more
ya, agreed....I am still torn on the slower solution vs faster one. VERY tough call. I favor the euro because its the euro...however, the GFS is better in progressive patterns. with a more amped solution, and once that flow starts to tilt, if your not on the cold side, your likely not going to get much snow. with a flatter gfs like solution the cold can push, but it will shut yall out somewhat in NC (I mean, it still snows, just not like the euro showing) since we won't have a storm really trying to crank and get close to the coast for yall.
I definitely am as well, more torn now in seeing the CMC/ECMWF/UKMET look just a hair flatter, but in the short range the vort max in the west is amplifying a bit more, and that could eventually offset some of the flattening we've seen in those models of late. I think somewhere between the I-95 and I-85 corridors in NC is sitting pretty atm...