modelwatcher
Member
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- Dec 29, 2016
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12Z GEFS is running....
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The GFS is possible, those highs will be putting pressure on that low causing tight pressure gradient, intensifying the low. With the Gulf surface waters warm, we could see a big winter storm, it's possible. The SER was a big help at keeping those surface water temps warm.SnowFlowXXL link said:
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You mean just ZR? That would be horrific and people would die. I want no part of that.bouncycorn link said:[quote author=ATLWxFan link=topic=80.msg7136#msg7136 date=1483376358]
[quote author=bouncycorn link=topic=80.msg7130#msg7130 date=1483376214]
Looks like freezing rain in Atlanta. Not sleet. The DGZ is dry.
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Starts as snow, ends as snow.. But the main juice looks to be ZR at KFTY. In fact, like .953" of liquid accumulation at KFTY, downtown Atlanta. And i'm thinking it'll be all freezing rain for some time if that DGZ is dry.
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You might be able to get IP from that that's a decent cold nose below the warm layer but it's so close and the warm layer is so thick you are right ZR would be favored
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Olaf
Guest
Spann wrote: You will lots of wild forecasts concerning potential for winter weather in 4-5 days. The new run of the GFS model is very aggressive, but it doesn't seem reasonable considering the pattern, and we are not forecasting what it suggests for now. Please see the blog for the latest...
What does he mean by the "pattern"?
What does he mean by the "pattern"?
Stormlover
Member
Thank you downerbhs1975 link said:
StoneMtnWx link said:Here is 12Z ukmet. Not as amped/strong as GFS is. Looks more in line with 0z euro/12z CMC from what I can tell with the 24hr panels.
It is but with the addition of CAD from that high not too far away, which neither the 12Z CMC nor the 0Z Euro have. With this low's track that far south, I wouldn't be surprised if IP and especially ZR would be well south into central GA/SC on this 12Z UKMET. Anyone have the 144?
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Olaf
Guest
Thank you downerStormlover link said:
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+1 Let's keep the good vibes rolling haha
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NorthGaWinter
Guest
GEFS looks great
SimeonNC
Member
JB is essentially resorting to wishcasting lol 
I'm not sure what he means by pattern. The pattern doesn't tell the models to make the low more aggressive. The GFS is being aggressive because of the setup. The other models should catch on.Olaf link said:
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Rosie
Member
To get anything near what GFS is showing would be amazing!
I guess the northern stream pressing into the lakes and shearing the system.Olaf link said:
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whatalife
Moderator
GEFS! Nice look...
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Webberweather53
Meteorologist
SimeonNC link said:JB is essentially resorting to wishcasting lol
Yep, lol. I love it when he forecasts a big one in the Mid-Atlantic & NE US because it usually doesnt verify, but even a blind squirrel finds a nut.
packfan98
Moderator
GEFS snow mean has really increased. Much further south and east with its coverage. I would imagine some really good individual members that look similar to the op.
