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Wintry 1/5-7 Winter Weather

I'm not sure if we get enough lift to really generate enough precipitation to overcome the exceptionally dry 900-sfc layer tomorrow afternoon but in this area there's a window where we could snow early then sleet before the overall profile gets too warm for anything wintry
 

Just posted my thoughts on the setup for Roanoke on twitter. Thinking 1-3 inches of snow and sleet with .25 inches of freezing rain.
 
Blizzard warning for the entire metro now

I got a feeling people are gonna talk about this storm after we're dead
I just went through Kansas City a month ago on my way to Oregon. I decided to take the Pony Express road. Beautiful part of the country. Most people don't like Kansas but I enjoyed it. I really like how the small towns had cobblestone streets. Anyway enjoy the storm . I witnessed 14in in an 8 hour period in Dec 2018. Will never forget it.
 
I just went through Kansas City a month ago on my way to Oregon. I decided to take the Pony Express road. Beautiful part of the country. Most people don't like Kansas but I enjoyed it. I really like how the small towns had cobblestone streets. Anyway enjoy the storm . I witnessed 14in in an 8 hour period in Dec 2018. Will never forget it.

Apparently the airport here hasn't had a foot in 60 years which is kind of crazy. 16.1 is the record

I'm gonna start taking pictures in a bit. There's really no rush... The peak isn't til this afternoon..
 

I think this is what's going to kill us:

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
As of 300 AM Sunday...

Increasing cloudiness, chilly highs in the 40s.

After a cold morning, temperatures will slowly moderate this
afternoon. Winds will be light and variable under the strong high
pressure. As the high pressure shifts east this afternoon, the high
cloudiness associated with the approaching storm from the west will
increase. There may be some virga with the passage of the H85 warm
front this afternoon
, especially across the NW-N Piedmont. Highs
should only top out around 40 NW into the mid/upper 40s south.

&&
 
I think this is what's going to kill us:

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
As of 300 AM Sunday...

Increasing cloudiness, chilly highs in the 40s.

After a cold morning, temperatures will slowly moderate this
afternoon. Winds will be light and variable under the strong high
pressure. As the high pressure shifts east this afternoon, the high
cloudiness associated with the approaching storm from the west will
increase. There may be some virga with the passage of the H85 warm
front this afternoon
, especially across the NW-N Piedmont. Highs
should only top out around 40 NW into the mid/upper 40s south.

&&
Cloudy with a chance of virga.... that's a new one. lol
 
I think this is what's going to kill us:

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
As of 300 AM Sunday...

Increasing cloudiness, chilly highs in the 40s.

After a cold morning, temperatures will slowly moderate this
afternoon. Winds will be light and variable under the strong high
pressure. As the high pressure shifts east this afternoon, the high
cloudiness associated with the approaching storm from the west will
increase. There may be some virga with the passage of the H85 warm
front this afternoon
, especially across the NW-N Piedmont. Highs
should only top out around 40 NW into the mid/upper 40s south.

&&
Yeah those TV in-house models are still showing snow up here but I agree, very dry airmass doubt any makes it to the ground. They are still showing decent onset zr potential right along the border. I won't be surprised if an advisory is issued late afternoon for Warren Co. westward for counties on the border for that light glaze potential before change over. Looks like we're losing the backside band option boo
 
Sorry for posting this here, but is anyone else having issues seeing mPing reports? I wanted to view check this storm as well as what hopefully is coming later. I cannot get the map to load. Perhaps itā€™s completely on my end or maybe I have missed something.
 
IMG_0122.png
Here comes the clouds!
 
Sorry for posting this here, but is anyone else having issues seeing mPing reports? I wanted to view check this storm as well as what hopefully is coming later. I cannot get the map to load. Perhaps itā€™s completely on my end or maybe I have missed something.
I canā€™t see mpings either, only the red reportsIMG_0123.png
 
Interesting...12z NAM for overnight
View attachment 159849
I guess we'll be tracking this to the end. If we get any precip to develop overnight tonight, we could see that as ice in northern NC. RAH mentioned the H85 (high level??) warm front passage this afternoon. Not sure (knowledgeable) what that would do to put a cap on precip development afterwards.
 
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