• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Wintry 1/26-1/28 Winter Storm Potential

The 0z suite of models tonight is going to be very key imo in determining if this afternoon was a hiccup or a legitimate anti-NW trend going forward because if we get at least 2 more runs in a row that tick SE (meaning thru 12z tomorrow) then it’s likely over, if we however resume the long term trend the last several days it’s game on at least for the I 95 corridor in NC esp from Johnston County and points north
 
RVD said:
The 18z NAM is through 21, and here's something noteworthy over the past few runs. The trough is becoming a bit sharper in tandem with the jet streak position shifting west (and strengthening!)View attachment 13571
Click to expand...
This favors upward motion for areas to the southeast of the jet streak over TN and western NC, again it’s actually a meteorologically feasible argument that we should have precip there the model derived precip fields are lackluster for now anyways
 
Webberweather53 said:
The 0z suite of models tonight is going to be very key imo in determining if this afternoon was a hiccup or a legitimate anti-NW trend going forward because if we get at least 2 more runs in a row that tick SE (meaning thru 12z tomorrow) then it’s likely over, if we however resume the long term trend the last several days it’s game on at least for the I 95 corridor in NC esp from Johnston County and points north
Click to expand...

Well the 18z NAM is coming in a good bit better at 5h and 7h too.
1548533631910.png
 
Small 5h changes but the storm goes negative a bit sooner. 7h VV is all the way to Raleigh area as is good saturation at the 7H level. Verbatim this should be a MUCH wetter run for Eastern NC and maybe part of Central NC.
1548533782831.png
1548533804118.png
 
Oh man this is looking nicer at the surface at 42. Slightly stronger, slower low pushing precip further inland.
 
  • Like
Reactions: ajr
metwannabe said:
18z NAM precip further west? Looks like it but on my phone and could be old man vision

Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk
Click to expand...

Imo, the northern half of the I-95 corridor in NC, which includes you & @snowlover91, are in the best position to see accumulating snow from this system if anyone is going to see any. This area seems to have the right combination of both being far enough to the SE where significant precipitation occurs but far enough NW to be back in the colder air
 
Well then @NAM. If this is real, definitely think there's a shot at seeing something accumulation wise for NE NC. Not sure how much though.
 
Could this go even further west tho ?!? Rgem might be leading the way
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top