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Deleted member 609
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Cant see precip types yet, but this has to be a massive snow for most areas
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Wintry 1/20 - 1/23 Winter Storm
- Thread starter packfan98
- Start date
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Well, to be fair, I thought the storm that is going to happen today/tomorrow was going to be a bit suppressed because of what I remember from one of the last La Nina's, and yet...
The CMC has me with a HIGH below 32 on Saturday next week.
Crazy.
Downeastnc
Member
Local office here also forecasting rain next Friday but it is a week out so I am sure if the models keep threatening snow they will change up....
Friday
A chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 39. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
The overall look is great for central and eastern NC, this is how we get our bigger snow's here.....really from Jan 19-25th there could be a low that gives us a storm....we gonna need it after getting goose egged tomorrow....though I will gladly exchange ice for a pure snow event...
Friday
A chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 39. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
The overall look is great for central and eastern NC, this is how we get our bigger snow's here.....really from Jan 19-25th there could be a low that gives us a storm....we gonna need it after getting goose egged tomorrow....though I will gladly exchange ice for a pure snow event...
whatalife
Moderator
D
Deleted member 609
Guest
Yep here it is boys. The monster
Lord have mercy
Nice
Snowed In
Member
D
Deleted member 609
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24 hour snow totals.
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- Lebanon Township, Durham County NC
GEFS isn’t even suppressed, there isn’t much of anything for anybody.
Snowed In
Member
WTH?!
whatalife
Moderator
ForsythSnow
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I feel you but my biggest worry is another January 2018 where it’s snowing on King St in Chas and it’s partly sunny here.
D
Deleted member 609
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19 at disneyworld. Looks realistic
Near boradwide winter storm on the 12Z CMC. Even ice in Savannah and snow on the Gulf Coast. The potential wth next week storm is endless!
To be fair, it had not much of anything for this upcoming storm at this same range.
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Deleted member 609
Guest
Eh. Rather this then showing a storm along thr coast already. If I get missed southeast, it is what it is. I'm tired of it missing me northwest.
Hypsometric
Member
FWIW the 12z CMC was very similar to many of the 00z EPS members that I looked at that had hits.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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In first with a : it looks like Jan 2000
The last time I can recall being in the "bullseye" zone for a snowstorm 7 days out and it worked out was in February 2010. The other times (and there have been numerous) I've been in the bullseye 7 days or so out; it hasn't worked out.
I love the pattern and the energy in the atmosphere, but I've been burnt too many times lately in this scenario. Color me (extremely) cautiously optimistic.
I love the pattern and the energy in the atmosphere, but I've been burnt too many times lately in this scenario. Color me (extremely) cautiously optimistic.
To me, the 12Z CMC looked more like Feb 1899, Feb 1914, or some of these really crazy runs we saw in last Februay before the Models went to crap for areas east of the Mountains.
Looks identical to the Jan 2014 overruning event with the CMC.
bingcrosbyb
Member
She’s a beaut Clark. 2M temps in mid 20s are fantastic.
That would be definitely some higher snow ratio. Like a 15:1.
Flo
Member
Yea I’m done with anything outside of 3 days. Been years and I mean years since we’ve seen snow modeled 7 days out
The difference between the GFS and CMC is that the CMC wants to dig the wave, while the GFS doesn't. After the last storms, you all know that models tend to underestimate the amplification and digging, but I'm not holding my tongue.
The CMC Ensembles don't look bad.
Hypsometric
Member
Just curious if that is all because the op CMC was still going strong at 180.
Downeastnc
Member
This setup is how we snow big in central and especially eastern NC for sure, gotta keep the pingers out of it or at least only deal with them for a few hrs.....back in Dec 2000 we had pingers at the height of the storm but I mean half dollar flakes and BB size pingers raining down with almost no vis was AWESOME lol.....I will take that anytime...this isnt fantasy range either inside of 7 days almost...just need that cold press to be legit.....the setup would give a good 3-5 days window for something to come along and give us a storm.
January for the ages setting up. Unreal
Which is so good, I’m more interested in this storm than the one occurring tonight and tomorrow it will be more snow and cold air to work with up there to bring down.
I have no idea how this is going to end up but would be shocked at an LP track like we are going to see tomorrow.
One analog stands above the others with that look and everyone will love it, 2/12/10.
The GEM/CMC look was just spectacular. UKMet was going in that direction at the end of it's run at 168, though not as boldly. So, GFS is hitting on the first wave dropping down, the CMC and UKMet with a second wave
Hypsometric
Member
I think the ICON was also in the CMC/UKMET camp.