Discuss April here
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Pattern April Showers
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ForsythSnow
Moderator
There will be now snow. Set it in stone.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Beginning of April looks to keep that damp look! I like it!
They bring may flowersApril showers getting an early start in your back yard!?
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Snowflowxxl
Member
Usually the big Severe month or the Southeast. Should be interesting to see what happens this year.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Winterish spring can only hold off severe for so long. We eventually reach a point usually sometime in April (sometimes May) where big cold shots can be your biggest enemy if you don't like severe weather
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The longer this goes on into April, the more uncertain I become whether this configuration will be beneficial or a detriment to severe weather, we had the outbreak in AL in a pattern loaded w/ cold...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Yeah that doesn’t necessarily scream severe outbreak unless you’re on the I-4 corridor in Florida.
This makes sense. I'd think that a cold spring would often mean more of a delay but not denied spring severe season. So, perhaps May this year will be more active than the typically most active month of April and June may be more like a typical May if this chilly pattern were to continue??
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
We had a sizeable outbreak in an even colder pattern in northern Alabama this previous week, the averages for most of the south in early April are in the 70s, slightly below average temps doesn't preclude severe at this time of the year necessarily up to I-40 but yes I'd agree to a point that it's not ideal by any stretch of the imagination
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Most of our severe weather events in the front half of the season lack CAPE but have plenty of shear while as we get later into the year towards May and June, we tend to have plenty of CAPE but the jet stream and associated shear is focused well to our NW that it becomes a limiting factor. Based on the SPC's sig TOR climo, the most favorable intersection of both CAPE and shear is around mid April in the southeastern US and of course May in the southern plains. Thus I think it's reasonable to assume that somewhere in/around the 3rd week of April or so, which thereafter our sig TOR climo starts to fall as shear often becomes limiting. Therefore, if we have a cold pattern in place w/ the jet stream displaced further south, it actually can be favorable to severe weather and tornadoes here instead of a hinderance as it is in a good part of Feb/Mar minus perhaps the Gulf coast. If this pattern persists another 3 weeks or so (give or take a week), that's when I'd estimate a chilly pattern more often turns against us rather than for us. Every year is obviously different and the intensity, longevity, and breadth of intruding arctic air masses matter a lot too but this is what our long-term climo suggests. Regardless, I'm all for keeping the heat and humidity at bay a little longer.
Webber, why does the severe weather threat shift west the later you go in the spring ? Is the jet stream further south the further west you go ? If so why is that the case ?
Spring who?
cd2play
Member
ForsythSnow
Moderator
It's going to stop or I'm going to buy a large array of heaters and place them from TX to PA, LOL.It's not going to stop until we're fully mocked, and our weather hobby and snow weeniesm is turned completely upside down
I'm just glad that we may hit 60 degrees this week. That's a win in my book.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I’ve had enough of this crap.
pcbjr
Member
Webb,
Summer's coming ... are you sure you've had enough? LOL
Your Friend,
Phil
I think it's more about just being near normal. This month has been pretty cold -6.8 5 days at normal or above 5 highs of 60+ and only 1 day of 70+. I'm not sure anyone is looking for summer temps just some warm days
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pcbjr
Member
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Simple. It's hour 222, bound to change drastically. Let's watch it warm up because it's spring. I'm sure you don't want a 4th dessert after 2 was enough nor does anyone else want NC to have more. I'm ready for some warmer weather but not tornadoes and hurricanes. Definitely not after last year.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Never mind ...
LOL...yeah unfortunately if everyone gets their wish...it could mean that you're the casualty of it because you flirt with the 90 degree mark.
I think I'm sick of it though too, sorry. When your coldest days are gray, damp, or windy (like last week), and in my case, dealing with sudden changes, you tire of it. I'm ready for consistent high 60s-mid 70s temps.
I don't want summer temps. I just want pleasant temps. Give me 60s and 70s every day until October and I'll be happy.
pcbjr
Member
I am taking a week off to sit on the lower Big Bend Gulf and do whatever the Gulf tells me ... Enjoy all the whatever and I'll be positively quiet for the duration ...
But before signing off, for the record, I'll take a damp, cloudy, cool, miserable day over any of the upcoming 90º & itchy humidity, any time ...
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Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Here's a snow/sleet accumulation map of the winter thus far in NC. For at least 80% of the state snowfall-wise, this was a great winter.
The beaches cashed in
I'm really hoping for a chance to score some snow this April. It's not impossible! Looks like some potential for TN anyway.
I believe it was April 15th 2001, it snowed one morning, temps in the 30s... some good moderate bursts for an hour or two, then temps warmed up into the 50s later in the day... didn't stick, but it was an unusual weather event for sure. Then there is always April 1987... CHA got around 3 inches. it actually snowed more further south of Chattanooga, into NE Alabama and North Ga.
Actually looked it up, it was April 17th, 2001. Recorded a Trace of snow at the airport. I was at work and remember it pretty vividly, even though the exact date eluded me.
I know it snowed in April in TN in 2007. Several inches near Cookeville and Crossville.
different animal there.. Crossville is up on the Cumberland Plateau, around 1800 ft above sea level. Beautiful area too.. Chattanooga got 3 days of killing freezes though.. then that summer was hot and dry... especially that August.. think it wound up the warmest Aug in CHA since 1870. I played hardcore tennis that whole month with a couple guys, heat never bothered me.. damn, time will do its thing in 10 years.
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for those still cutting their teeth, like me, on severe weather meteorology... here's a pretty good site to show what went down in April 2011, severe-wise. Hey, I still don't even know what CAPE means... https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/csi/events/2011/tornadoes/index.html
Brent
Member
I would die laughing if Dallas gets a freeze in April after not having one since Mid February and almost hitting 90...
There seems to be a chance lol
There seems to be a chance lol
no freezes in March? wow... you're definitely getting a killing frost in North Texas.. way overdue.
Brent
Member
right on cue the 0z Euro has upper 20s on April 4th lol
The last freeze looks to have been February 12th(heck it was January last year and never got cold again)