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Wintry Machine Learning Mauler 1/30-2/1

Something I’ve always wondered and maybe one of the mets on here can answer. Does where bands of virga starting to pop up on radar give any indication to where the best forcing is setting up? I ask because there is band that just popped in the last hour south of me over Lancaster county stretch west over York and back over the upstate
 
I'm a long time lurker, just figured I would share a pic. Hope this isn't banter. This is from Buchanan county VA, on the va/ky/WV border. Only calling for 3-5" of snow here, so I think you guys further east will have a nice treat. Good luck everyone!
 

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SREF is showing the Carolina Split for the first time. (The model has not finished running yet)
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I learned this lesson long ago, you probably knew too… but here’s another classic example of why you should give the sref mean 0% consideration in the future. It’s 100% trash and worthless.
 
I think that’s the 10:1 map. I don’t believe SREF has Kuchera maps.
Yeah I think the closest you’re going to get to Kuchera is by looking at the SREF plumes for various sites. It appears the plumes do account for snowfall ratios.
 
But it is hitting the ground. Multiple people reporting. What’s the point of him speaking in absolutes when it’s literally happening.
I've seen a few videos of it too already in Northern NC and like u said Well ahead of schedule

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Wondering if this makes it to Wake Forest or Youngsville


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