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Pattern Fab Feb

Looking a little bit flatter at 72 on gfs...heights in the east are higher and lower in the west....maybe Lp in gulf gets a little stronger in the gulf earlier? At 90 more moisture into Miss!
 
Something else I thought of earlier. The lowest I've ever seen water temps in the shelf waters off Myrtle Beach/Wilmington area has been 40F. With this LONG stretch of very cold weather we have a legit shot to see a sub-40F reading at one of the official reporting stations.
 
bouncycorn said:
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Oh hell na! Not again. No ma’am. I need to speak to your supervisor! This is unacceptable!

🤪

Good thing I was just looking back at the 423 saved model images and just saw the euro was putting out a butt ton of snow for this past weekend. At about this range. So I’d say… not panicking. Yet.

Edit: I cannot stress enough how grateful I am for your posts. Seriously, all the thank yous! 🙏
 
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NCSNOW said:
Lord Have Mercy at the latest CFS throughout February. I mean , I've never seen a Feb, wall to wall look so good. We are just getting started, if this verifies
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You made me go look. Yeah, if something like that panned out, many of us would be really hoping for spring.
 
LukeBarrette said:
Man just be happy there is another possible threat showing up...
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Another durn threat that skips bama and GA.

I’ll be exited for yall SC, NC, and VA folks this storm. But salty and denied will take its toll if yet another one skips us again.
 
GaWx said:
The model consensus is progging ~-5 for the 1/28 AO. If it gets there, it would join a select few Jans with a day or more of a sub -5 AO:

2010: ATL very cold but nothing historic
1985: ATL -8 one day later
1977: snow/freeze to Miami 2 days later
1966: ATL -3 2 days later
1963: ATL -3 3 days later
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The preliminary AO for 1/28 fell just barely short of -5 as it was -4.9. When it’s finalized, that could go sub -5. Regardless, this is the most -AO day in Jan since 2016. Extreme SE cold, sometimes accompanied by wintry precip very far to the south, have some tendency to follow these very strong -AOs as per the list in the quoted post though those were all sub -5.
 
After next weekend, it looks like we may do the Greenland Block > Retrograde thing again. This time, we may retrograde the pattern some across the U.S. too, so maybe more of a full conus flat trough instead of the steep E U.S. trough.....we'll see. Good things can happen though if the block goes big and retrogrades.

Jan 28 EPS.gif


Jan 28 CMC.gif


Euro Weeklies trying to push closer toward an SSW here around Valentine's Day

Jan 28 SSW.png


Remember the Trapper Keeper Notebook? See E Canada

Jan 28 CMCE.png
 
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