Yeh after it going the wrong way for so long, it's good to see it coming back the other direction now.
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Pattern January Joke
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
JP152
Member
Looks pretty good for East Tennessee and Southern Virginia too.
Going to have to work hard. We're in no man's land right now on the Euro.
NCHighCountryWX
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BAMWX 10 Day for Banner Elk
packfan98
Moderator
What do we need to happen with the first system to get a bigger system? I need to know what to root for!
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
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Of course the PV is really trending closer and stronger in southeast Canada. Not sure how that helps for first or second system.
Showmeyourtds
Member
I looked at all of the upper air temps & maps. & everything aloft supported snow with nominal at best boundary layer temps down to Atlanta. I don't normally look at the UKMET, but I wonder if it has some kind of graphical resolution trigger that automatically defaults to rain when the temperature isn't at or below 0CUKMET soundings under the Pivotal'rain' on the northern GA/AL border.View attachment 182698
Max says we’re in. We ride
Seeing those heights trend higher over the NE is a good thing.
I don't know if the big L is my favorite
You don’t want the backward tilted L a week out. Come on RC!
euro is dry
Yeah I was looking at the wrong part of the wave my bad. Looks pretty similar to 6z euro orientation overall so probably will be dry
LongRanger
Member
Well what the heck is he going off of? Models are all over the place
Euro bringing some moisture in earlier. 
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
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Lets give the Great Lakes its 25th clipper of the season!!!
I’d err on the side of caution as what has been forecasted and what has hit the ground has been skewed the past 6 months or more!
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Euro has a major event later in the month.
Same as what gfs had yesterday around the 24th?
Unlike the UKMET and GFS, the EURO rolls over the top of the PNA ridge and sends the trailing vorticity maximum to Hudson Bay rather than diving it southward. That second piece of energy is key,
and the westernmost entry progged by the UKMET is ideal.
and the westernmost entry progged by the UKMET is ideal.Don’t they all! Not trying to be a doubter but the can always gets kicked. We can’t seem to score if conditions are perfect, there is always a wrench thrown in!
Dry or wet CAD. 
NBAcentel
Member
Ridge rolling over has been probably the number 1 killer in a otherwise good pattern recently, going back to last winter
AJ1013
Member
42F here and 57F in Orlando? Seems unlikely lol
Seen modeled a lot lately. GFS has shown it several times from the 22nd forward
Tsappfrog20
Member
I’m starving for anything although I did see snow at my house this winter however I don’t know if I want all the ice . It would be fun sledding though!
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I know I harp on roll-over ridges, but I just don't like them. Plus, they have a tendency to break off and become donuts, sending the cold air back west into the Pacific.
I don't hate it.
Stormlover
Member
huh?
iGRXY
Member
It’s an ice event in the CAD regions of Ne Georgia, SC, NC
I mean...
That’s what we said about this time coming up too. Nothing you can do with there’s no moisture to work with no matter how good the pattern is.
The current EPS running is COLD. Huge adjustments.