Pattern December Doldrums 2025 🎄 ❄️

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Anytime see Alaska cold . That’s not good

I was just about to post about this. When it’s -58 on the Alaskan border the writing is on the wall. Same concept as last year when it snowed in the gulf and Alaska was complaining about “there’s no snow here. It’s never going to snow or be cold here again.” Well, here you go

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

and then at the tail end of fantasy runs we’ve got -60’s along the AK Canadian border. So if you think this can’t get worse before it gets better think again

 

[LukeBarrette]

Congrats @LukeBarrette CJ throwing out BRINE on this threat already. He’s got the ju-ju marinating early View attachment 179253

The pure aura of SW VA this winter is causing me to get tagged in everything

 

[North GA Weather Nerd]

An oldie example of how a west-based -NAO/-PNA can work in our favor if we play things right:

This is the 1922 Knickerbocker Storm which caused a roof collapse to the first movie theater in America. Also dropped 3 feet of snow in Roxboro, just a very slow moving and amped storm.

View attachment 179218
View attachment 179219

Dang, went deep in the files for that one. Good look

 

[BIG FROSTY]

I hear if you like it cold in January, then today's Euro Weeklies you are not going to like. Cold forecast for January may be in trouble... Per #bamboys
#natgas

 

[BIG FROSTY]

I was just about to post about this. When it’s -58 on the Alaskan border the writing is on the wall. Same concept as last year when it snowed in the gulf and Alaska was complaining about “there’s no snow here. It’s never going to snow or be cold here again.” Well, here you go View attachment 179266

It'll dislodge and pile drive the Southeast in March, and give us some late frost/freezes! #bookit

 

[Ollie Williams]

Anytime see Alaska cold . That’s not good

Better than a blowtorch over Alaska and the United States with completely zonal flow

As frustrating as it is to remove the snow-cover over the northern tier of the US, we can recover if we keep the snow cover in NW Canada… if the circulation pattern changes

 

[Chazwin]

Better than a blowtorch over Alaska and the United States with completely zonal flow

As frustrating as it is to remove the snow-cover over the northern tier of the US, we can recover if we keep the snow cover in NW Canada… if the circulation pattern changes

Yeah I guess I might be in the minority but I don’t ever get disappointed to see cold like that building in Alaska and NW Canada. To me that means that the cold air is relatively close by and we don’t have to depend on a cross polar flow to inject a Siberian air mass into the pattern.

 

[Tarheel1]

Gusts to 50 mph, temp 17 WC -13
Snow!

 

[Prestige Worldwide]

Unfortunately this is too appropriate

 

[weatherfide]

Yeah I guess I might be in the minority but I don’t ever get disappointed to see cold like that building in Alaska and NW Canada. To me that means that the cold air is relatively close by and we don’t have to depend on a cross polar flow to inject a Siberian air mass into the pattern.

There won't be a "pattern" to inject it in to. The conditions that create the "pig" are not going to change in the next two weeks, maybe longer.

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

Be of good cheer. Here's a little CFS porn to soothe the weenies.

 

[NBAcentel]

1 of these 3 days is gonna trick the sensor in Raleigh into a 80F reading

 

[Chazwin]

There won't be a "pattern" to inject it in to. The conditions that create the "pig" are not going to change in the next two weeks, maybe longer.

The point though is that you don’t have to have the perfect pattern to tap into it like you do with a cross polar flow.

 

[JHS]

Yeah I guess I might be in the minority but I don’t ever get disappointed to see cold like that building in Alaska and NW Canada. To me that means that the cold air is relatively close by and we don’t have to depend on a cross polar flow to inject a Siberian air mass into the pattern.

I wonder if this could play out like late January into early February of 1989 did. Alaska had extreme cold, then a major cold snap into the central US, and then finally a quick hitting cold snap for NC, and SC. Some of us got down close to 10 degrees with that one.

 

[J1C1111]

I wonder if this could play out like late January into early February of 1989 did. Alaska had extreme cold, then a major cold snap into the central US, and then finally a quick hitting cold snap for NC, and SC. Some of us got down close to 10 degrees with that one.

I hate waiting so long for it because of wasting some or all of January but that is still up in the air at this point as of now but I think February might be our time later this winter. Will see how it shakes out.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

A few days til Christmas and we’ve got heavy rain almost into the Hudson Bay

 

[SD]

Rain busting here lolz

 

[JHS]

We are actually getting much more rain than I thought we would get here with at least a little more to come.

 

[JHS]

A nasty looking line of storms back in central Tenn right now moving east.

 

[accu35]

@tennessee storm i know you loving this.

 

[CaryWx]

On the upside there does seem to be a signal that keeps showing up for a wave across the south around NYE. Still in that 300 range though

 

[jackendrickwx]

Rain busting here lolz

0.89” #iwin

 

[iGRXY]

most winter day and night ever in this part of the country. 45 degree wedged rain and INSANELY thick fog. Fog started really getting going this afternoon and now you can’t see across the road

 

[SENC]

Light too Moderate Rain Showers here on the Beach(s) Temp 62F..

 

[Chazwin]

Been getting a good soaking steady rain for the last few hours here. Always nice to have a rainfall like this when the trees are bare. It goes straight to the water table

 

[GaWx]

Ladies and gentlemen, can I have your attention, please? The results are in and we did it. The MJO went back into phase 8 on Dec 15th, the coldest day of the season to date! Let the celebrations begin! The weenies are gonna party like it’s Feb 1899!
View attachment 179177

View attachment 179178

Talk about a turnaround! After one day of glee and bigtime celebration due to our immense accomplishment of getting phase 8 back on the coldest day so far this season, it’s already gone. The MJO moved into phase 7 two days ago. Turn out the lights, the party’s over (well as of two days ago at least).





But the good news is that the models are suggesting a good chance this moved right back into 8 either yesterday or today! So, we might go right back to celebrating as early as tomorrow!

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Christmas Day. Hardly a flake from the Louisiana purchase eastward in the continental US. It’s hard to even fathom how it was able to snow here on Christmas Day 15 years ago. Something that may never happen again. But Grandpa Jimmy was there. I seen it with my own two eyes.

 

[lexxnchloe]

January looks toasty. Not to worry though, Below normal and rain will return in late March

 

[NBAcentel]

This AIGFS run might take the crown for one of the warmest stretches I’ve ever seen. Constant 70/50s from day Christmas onward to the end of the run, never ending

 

[jrips27]

Well that’s different on the Euro


Maybe we can at least end the year cold

 

[accu35]

Euro much colder then the gfs end of month. That’s a good feeling.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

This little line moving through this morning was impressive. Extremely windy. Woke me up out of a deep sleep