Color scales really can ruin a good map
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Pattern Morch
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Oh no when the country gets half a degree warmer on average over the next decade we’ll have to watch alligator snow fall at 19 degrees instead of 18.5
packfan98
Moderator
Looks like Polarwx now has 10:1 snow charts for the AIFS.
What cruise ship?Yes. We’ve got a cruise on the 20th. I don’t think i can stomach driving through any more Florida snow on my way to Port Canaveral.
When the bathtub finally sloshes, it’s going to flood the kitchen
Carnival I think?
Vista? 8 day
No it’s just a 5 day. It’s for the kids really. We wanted to let them experience a trip slightly outside the us border. Testing the waters here on this first one
WolfpackHomer91
Member
Carnival Legend is cool ….. I gotta be honest We did a Royal Carribean one last May… meh it was overrated , Bunch of old ppl the ship was dead by 10PM. Carnival ppl are more my style of ppl
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Ok we leaving on 22nd on vista out of port canaveral. Hope you have a great trip
Our kids love it. Going in March and September. Hopefully another snow or two before we go. Believe it will before we go
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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2 comments on this: I got 8-10” (Gastonia) and a Roxboro whiff and RAH jackpot, very rare occurrences! Hope yall score again in Morch, it definitely looks like a pattern that could produce!
Not sure it will be cold enough outside elevation for the SE, or even southern MA, but confidence in an sig SLP ivo the EC in about a weeks time is increasing.
Yes sir. We're going to see a banger somewhere in the 7-14 day time frame. Hopefully, it won't just be the fish that see it.
EPS and AI loving the 10-14 day period for chilly weather. Hopefully, we can time out a wave or two. Fast, active pattern. The MJO is just playing in the P1 sandbox. Just anchored, if you believe the Euro.
LickWx
Member
Looking at the forecast at least, coldest high is 51, low mid 50s so below average but not really cold. Benefits of moving further and further into the year , of course I’m sure it can get colder but it’s not in the forecast if it is and would take a significant degree to do so
I'm thinking the AI anomalies might do the trick. We're probably not going to snow in the low/mid 20s again. But if you're got cold air of magnitude around, you're not out of the game.
Unless we hit a random phase just right i don't think we have much snow potential until after 3/4 when we get the jet retraction, epo ridge look
LickWx
Member
Oh yeah certainly, I’m more glad that at least if it is below average it’s more likely to still be tolerable … got to look at silver linings and whatnot
WolfpackHomer91
Member
Which traditionally would be our Heavy wet snow correct like 6/1 ? 7/1? But the big fat flakes. Assuming it’s a 31-33 Borderline event where we’d need to crash the columns
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Or snow at night!
lexxnchloe
Member
Just move ese from there
Nothing has changed for me. Still like that 5-10th timeframe. Jet retracts, but it takes time for H5 to catch up, so we still have a ridge in western Canada, vortex over SE Canada, and there’s a nice signal of the subtropical jet stream picking up steam over the U.S. around this time, with plenty of cold air around. Could be severe/wintry hazards during this timeframe 
Let's go!
That’s a set up that has been known to create some big late season winter storms
NCSNOW
Member
Glad we get one more window through March 12th -ish. No guarantees, slam dunks, espeacilly in March
But Ill take it.
After that, gonna jump the gun some on gardening. Big jet retraction, should warm us with SE ridge remainder of March. Its April 1 - 25 that gives me pause. Our avg last freeze is April 20th. So im sure we will get a 2-3 day cold snap mid April never fails. But this may be the year where we get into a warm spring mid March and avoid the frost, freeze outside elevation the rest of spring. Thoughts?
But Ill take it.
After that, gonna jump the gun some on gardening. Big jet retraction, should warm us with SE ridge remainder of March. Its April 1 - 25 that gives me pause. Our avg last freeze is April 20th. So im sure we will get a 2-3 day cold snap mid April never fails. But this may be the year where we get into a warm spring mid March and avoid the frost, freeze outside elevation the rest of spring. Thoughts?
NCSNOW
Member
By the way was up toward Lynchburg today. Lot of snow still lyeing around in shade. Also a lot of limbs an trees down. Yall got a pretty good lick with that snow about 10 days ago, must have flipped to ice on the backside.
Good piece of cold hanging out where we need it. Big wave break into the 50/50 region. Still needs some work but If we’re going to get one more this is probably the timeframe to watch. And if not, so long winter 2025. The winter that made us all believe again.
NCSNOW
Member
Current radar sat 7:34 pm
March will save winter for those who need it!!!
I don’t need it. Two separate storms. One January and one February gave me a grand total of over 18” of snowfall. The 1/2” on Thursday was icing on the cake.
Congratulations. Definitely an A+ winter in ENC
So drunk swingers are your thing? Just got off Royal Caribbean Explorer of The Seas. Lot of fun. Old people were up until well into the early morning hours.
WolfpackHomer91
Member
Epic fantasy run on the GFS lol 
Downeastnc
Member
This would be pure Carolina concrete type snow, ratios probably 8:1 at best lol....would also be absolutely ripping big fat flakes that stick to everything. Would be awesome way to end winter.
Shaggy
Member
Undergrowth already trying to green here and a few trees are blooming even in the face of this last cold spell. We get a few warm days in March and it's gonna be full blown spring here
GFS @ 06z
Euro 00z same time.
Who you got? lol
Euro 00z same time.
Who you got? lol
Honestly neither