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Pattern October 2023 Thread

gfs_apcpn_us_64.png
 
These are the kind of weeks I live for right here, this almost makes the 3 months on hells front porch worth it. I wouldnt worry to much about it being dry now, if the winter plays out like it should then the SE will be plenty wet, and going in a bit dry will probably actually help. Oct into early Nov is traditionally the driest period for most of us all year.
 
NoSnowATL said:
North trend aint yo friend


gfs_asnow_us_64.png
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I've been skeptical anyway and I honestly don't even think that's all snow. There's been a lot of ice showing up in Kansas even. It's more of a SW flow overrunning setup which is yeah usually not fun
 
Brent said:
I've been skeptical anyway and I honestly don't even think that's all snow. There's been a lot of ice showing up in Kansas even. It's more of a SW flow overrunning setup which is yeah usually not fun
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I like winter weather any way I can get it. Don't matter. Bring it on!
 
I bottomed out at 37.6 degrees this morning. It is now 40 and I did see some frost on my vehicles and other exposed surfaces this morning.
The first frost for this area is usually around Halloween so we are running a week ahead of schedule. This cool spell will be a memory though this weekend when highs jump back into the lower eighties. My thermometer is set at five feet above the ground and my backup mercury thermometer under the carport is set at the same height.
 
Having a break from the rain is nice from time to time, but damn. This is insane lol.

Here are the driest back-to-back calendar months ever logged in Chattanooga (records began in 1879)
1) Sep-Oct 1938 = 0.40"
2) Sep-Oct 2023 = 0.42" (as of today, with little/none expected through end of the month)
3) Oct-Nov 1939 = 0.92"
4) Aug-Sep 1998 = 1.07"
5) Oct-Nov 1924 = 1.23"
 
cyclogent said:
Having a break from the rain is nice from time to time, but damn. This is insane lol.

Here are the driest back-to-back calendar months ever logged in Chattanooga (records began in 1879)
1) Sep-Oct 1938 = 0.40"
2) Sep-Oct 2023 = 0.42" (as of today, with little/none expected through end of the month)
3) Oct-Nov 1939 = 0.92"
4) Aug-Sep 1998 = 1.07"
5) Oct-Nov 1924 = 1.23"
Click to expand...

Laniña is the answer atmosphere still imo
 
Average Oct H5 of the last few ninos
gCre8L_7Fj.png

and jet
YHsxFPWevb.png

vs 2023 MTD H5
compday._HxTt7H_FP.gif

2023 Jet
compday.iqHKg8smTl.gif

We have somewhat blocked ourselves right out of getting any benefit from an enhanced STJ since the typical October Nino pattern is far more similar to what is upcoming this weekend versus what we have seen.
 
cyclogent said:
Having a break from the rain is nice from time to time, but damn. This is insane lol.

Here are the driest back-to-back calendar months ever logged in Chattanooga (records began in 1879)
1) Sep-Oct 1938 = 0.40"
2) Sep-Oct 2023 = 0.42" (as of today, with little/none expected through end of the month)
3) Oct-Nov 1939 = 0.92"
4) Aug-Sep 1998 = 1.07"
5) Oct-Nov 1924 = 1.23"
Click to expand...
I'm at .32" after 1.40" last month. My grass is toast but when I planted my garlic last night there is still plenty of moisture in the soil an inch or two down. The creek is still flowing strong too but it is spring fed.
 
Snowlover87 said:
Low to Mid 80s is way too hot for the end of October !
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Nah, it feels great! The longer I don't have to run heat, the better! NBM has it looking like winter after Tuesday of next week, so, I'll take 80's once more and enjoy it. Hope to get some rain with it, as the Euro has some low development on the front before the push of dry and cold.
 
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