Lets see what happens with this storm forming out west at 222 hours.
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Pattern December, Make analogs relevant again
- Thread starter GaWx
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- inspired by mack
While its not very deep at least starting to get that valuable snow pack to the N/NW per the GFS
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Cary_Snow95
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I am no expert, but doesn't that look like a classic overrunning setup?
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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That is looking great ! Shred or storm! I think storm!
It's trying
Yuck, looks like cold air surges way north
Snowflowxxl
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Gonna be too warm I think
Cary_Snow95
Member
Timing looks poor this run. This will be mostly rain probably on this run
Cary_Snow95
Member
Beautiful low placement of the SE coast but need a nice strong high overtop
NorthGaWinter4
Member
Lol go in the ice box, get a healthy perfect storm track. And boom too warm. Lofl
WeatherWatch
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Yes, that high pressure that is pushing off to the Mid-Atlantic/Northeastern US would setup a CAD.
NorthGaWinter4
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Temps aren’t even close... mid 40s for most
lol I'm okay with that... that's way out over 12 days so plenty of time for cold/moisture to sort out matters but the 6th and 7th period should be peaking interest if that tilts some more of next couple of runs we could be looking at a decent over-running event in a few days
Tall ridge out west but it becomes a timing issue because we lost the -NAO so we are back to threading the needle type situation... on this one run anyway.
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SnowE73
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Then Texas starts to roast by hour 336.
Snowflowxxl
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Go into the freezer at the end of the run
Tarheel1
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The Great Lakes low, is causing issues with the 12 day storm. It'll be better at 18z. The Euro will bring the goods.
Yesterday’s GFS 12Z actually showed it snowing next week.
WeatherWatch
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Sometimes there isn't any frozen precip. associated with CAD. However, a cold rain can drop the wet bulb temp. which also makes the actual air temp. drop.
Why do I feel business is about to pick up in this thread 
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Storm5
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Lol lots of complaining going on for a gfs op run that has lots of cold air around and lots of potential.
Tarheel1
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384 hours away. It will happen
GeorgiaGirl
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The 384 hour GFS temp map is one to save lmao.
GFS showed a fantasy snowstorm.
whatalife
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Tarheel1
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DT will like that!GFS showed a fantasy snowstorm.
ForsythSnow
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Oh Canada! Has those snow showers on Saturday and the backside.CMC
cd2play
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Sign.. Me.. Up.CMC
WeatherWatch
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The models have a hard time to depict storm system's because of the polar low displacement. Each run is going to be inconstant/different/inaccurate on each run in the mid-range. If there will be a storm system, we won't see consistency until at least 5-7 days or so prior of a storm system. I believe a storm system will come about in a "snap" and unexpected.
If the Euro shows it, it’s on!
Tarheel1
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I like where we stand! It's not this cold is 384 hours away, it's just around the corner! Get it here and see what shakes out!
whatalife
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Why do I feel business is about to pick up in this thread
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IDK. Maybe because there was no real winter storm in your backyard on this GFS run
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Tarheel1
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Business is picking up at tha ass hat store, according to storm!Why do I feel business is about to pick up in this thread
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sigwx
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Its the most wonderful time of the yearWhy do I feel business is about to pick up in this thread
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He should know he's the store managerBusiness is picking up at tha ass hat store, according to storm!
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RollTide18
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I'll just say this, I haven't this forum (or the last one) this hyped up and energetic about a winter pattern in years, says a lot about the last two winters. I'm just happy to actually see sustained cold on the models and under 200 hours at that.