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Misc 2021-22 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

We just can't get/keep deep cold in the Triangle even when it supposed to be the coldest of the season and abnormally below averages.
 
KyloG said:
ICON was weaker and strung out...we like that. ?
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That's how we get to where we want want to be. No phase just a shearing srn stream wave with a slowly amplifying arctic wave, Wsw flow over top the arctic boundary, and a jet streak aloft. My goodness that setup prints snow money for areas that are just on the north side of the sleet band where you can really overlap deeper moisture and just enough cold. Not to mention the glacier that forms where someone sleets for almost the whole event
 
SD said:
That's how we get to where we want want to be. No phase just a shearing srn stream wave with a slowly amplifying arctic wave, Wsw flow over top the arctic boundary, and a jet streak aloft. My goodness that setup prints snow money for areas that are just on the north side of the sleet band where you can really overlap deeper moisture and just enough cold. Not to mention the glacier that forms where someone sleets for almost the whole event
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Not only that but these setups love to over perform with mesoscale banding and associated FGEN, give me FLAT
 
The owner is letting us stay as long as we’d like at no charge which is nice but it’s rough out there. I made it worse by packing down what little I was able to run over.

I know you’re enjoying this, Heelyes
 
Parker said:
The owner is letting us stay as long as we’d like at no charge which is nice but it’s rough out there. I made it worse by packing down what little I was able to run over.

I know you’re enjoying this, Heelyes
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Change your location your no longer in Alabama ! Ahahaha your stuck here
 
Why do I wake up this morning with the almost complete assurance that we are gonna find a way to thread the needle the next few weeks and receive a great big helping of fail with seconds available?
 
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Parker said:
The owner is letting us stay as long as we’d like at no charge which is nice but it’s rough out there. I made it worse by packing down what little I was able to run over.

I know you’re enjoying this, Heelyes
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I hope you have plenty of food.
 
Rain Cold said:
I'd honestly like to believe that, but for whatever reason, models love to show these ridiculous winter storms with temps in the low 20s to make everybody say, man I can't remember the last time it snowed at 5 degrees around here, and then they inevitably trend toward a normal winter event where we're watching CC radar mode.
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"Cold air won't be a problem this time"
 
To me the differences in the icon are more related to timing of the wave in question for this system and that starts the snowball of changes that nets as a stronger more NW system but the changes between 6z and 12z weren't that large with the overall wave action. At least we aren't seeing a phase ripping it NW yet
 
Here's another fav

It's trending better at 12. Yeah farther south and colder at 24. Much better cold press at 36. Snow breaking out farther south at 48! Great trends!! Much colder gonna be a big one!!!11!11 Meh, ended up in the same spot.
 
Arcc said:
Why do I wake up this morning with the almost complete assurance that we are gonna find a way to thread the needle the next few weeks and receive a great big helping of fail with seconds available?
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I've got a very uneasy feeling that somehow we will completely waste this "great pattern" just like we did in February 2015. It's hard being so close to the action and missing out. I'd rather be in Florida and far removed from the action than be so close and miss out.
 
neelsamb said:
That was a great event but I forget at times that it even happened. For some reason it wasn’t all that memorable and I think part of it was that temps warmed up quickly and melted quite a bit of it away that same afternoon.
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I just drove southwest to my office on Sandy Plains Rd, there was no snow 3 miles from my house. Tight gradient I guess, similar to the 2020 February storm.
 
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