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Misc Stock Market

It's really amazing that outside of a global catastrophic event, you don't even get a regular 10% correction anymore. Just a couple percent and to the moon.

Also, people are still shoveling money into their retirement accounts every week so that money has to go somewhere. And since covid started we have had an army of retail traders that aggressively buy every dip, they have zero fear and until that changes it's hard for me to imagine a big 20% correction anytime soon.
 
$IWM still one of my bigger holdings into Q4. Reclaimed all the moving averages today and been strong, breakout is $230 but that has been rejected many times over past 6 months....but if it can get through then it could get fun.

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No position yet in Zillow but was oversold and in a nice falling wedge. On watch for now.

weekly chart

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Zillow scares me. I don't know how much they are doing this but the amount of money they offered me for my house was insane. That could end badly if housing market drops
 
Started ADBE yesterday for first time. It’s valuation is still high even with this big sell off but it’s such a great company. Was hoping for a pullback to the 50wma but so was everyone else it looks like and buyers jumped in.

Weekly chart.

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Zillow scares me. I don't know how much they are doing this but the amount of money they offered me for my house was insane. That could end badly if housing market drops

Definitely, housing prices have skyrocketed, along with everything else. I had 2 people bang on my door over the summer wanting to buy my house, never seen that before.
 
This guy is a good follow on twitter, great at looking at macro for markets...highlighting how tight small caps are getting.

 
Looks like the debt ceiling deal may be falling apart. They do not yet have 10 Republican votes to pass the deal. 11 days until we default.
Did you put a tarp over your house so you can claim victory about not getting a single drop of rain?
 
What the heck kind of close is that...inverted hammer right above a big gap up...?‍♂️

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Looks like the debt ceiling deal may be falling apart. They do not yet have 10 Republican votes to pass the deal. 11 days until we default.

It's still baffling to me that our govt is so flippant about just increasing the debt limit....while Biden is trying to push a $3T infrastructure package.

Why even have a limit, it will get increased, Bidens infra. package will get approved eventually, the debt our country will rack up will be never ending. All the while the Fed is pumping trillions and has rates stuck at 0% forever. :oops:

Baffling might not be the right word...more like scary.
 
Retail weakness isn’t going away. #inflation

Target could do no wrong with multiple stimulus last year and now it can’t catch a bid.

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It's still baffling to me that our govt is so flippant about just increasing the debt limit....while Biden is trying to push a $3T infrastructure package.

Why even have a limit, it will get increased, Bidens infra. package will get approved eventually, the debt our country will rack up will be never ending. All the while the Fed is pumping trillions and has rates stuck at 0% forever. :oops:

Baffling might not be the right word...more like scary.
This kind of behavior is no different than basic criminal behavior or a child's behavior. When you do something that you know is wrong or shady but it benefits you, and you experience no consequences for it, you do it again and again, as long as two things remain in place: 1) It continues to benefit you and 2) You remain consequence-free.

The outcome of the above leads to more brazen behavior - while you used to sneak and do it, you are more flippant and less cautious, because you are less worried about any negative repercussions.

This is exactly what we're seeing. For well over a decade, there have been no consequences to runaway spending and massive debt accumulation. Central banks have "got it" and MMT provides a psychological safety net.

One day, it will absolutely crash and burn. But you better believe they are going to swing for the fences right up until the very end. When the consequences come, it will be too late...and they will be severe.

By the way, like you noted above, nice gravestone doji to end the day!
 
This kind of behavior is no different than basic criminal behavior or a child's behavior. When you do something that you know is wrong or shady but it benefits you, and you experience no consequences for it, you do it again and again, as long as two things remain in place: 1) It continues to benefit you and 2) You remain consequence-free.

The outcome of the above leads to more brazen behavior - while you used to sneak and do it, you are more flippant and less cautious, because you are less worried about any negative repercussions.

This is exactly what we're seeing. For well over a decade, there have been no consequences to runaway spending and massive debt accumulation. Central banks have "got it" and MMT provides a psychological safety net.

One day, it will absolutely crash and burn. But you better believe they are going to swing for the fences right up until the very end. When the consequences come, it will be too late...and they will be severe.

By the way, like you noted above, nice gravestone doji to end the day!

Agreed 100%. It's very scary.
 
Accidentally overnighted 300 shares of MVIS. Please God no offering
You survived, no offering haha. They've only used half the money from the last offering, so should be good for a while, although they just took on additional office space in Redmond and have been ramping up staffing pretty dramatically (33 positions currently posted) so they may run through fairly quick. Sure would love to see a partnership and/or customers real soon
 
In the past 12 hours the govt has increased our parabolic debt limit, we got poor jobs numbers this morning, the Fed is pumping trillions into the economy and has rates set to 0% because the economy is so fragile. You would think our market would be 20% off ATH's but no....it's just ripping higher this morning. Is it just me or is our markets just a house of cards....it makes no sense. But,, all it does is go higher and a year from now your money would have earned 20%. ?‍♂️
 
In the past 12 hours the govt has increased our parabolic debt limit, we got poor jobs numbers this morning, the Fed is pumping trillions into the economy and has rates set to 0% because the economy is so fragile. You would think our market would be 20% off ATH's but no....it's just ripping higher this morning. Is it just me or is our markets just a house of cards....it makes no sense. But,, all it does is go higher and a year from now your money would have earned 20%. ?‍♂️
House of cards. I'm pulling out the day before it collapses.
 
House of cards. I'm pulling out the day before it collapses.

I went all cash in my IRA's in mid-August and I put a lot of it back in the past week on this sell off but geez, our market is a house of cards and it's very hard for me to keep it in there. But, all this market does is go up.
 
I went all cash in my IRA's in mid-August and I put a lot of it back in the past week on this sell off but geez, our market is a house of cards and it's very hard for me to keep it in there. But, all this market does is go up.
It's very simple. It's 100% central bank related. Ignore EVERYTHING else outside of a major black swan.
 
I went to holding cash in all retirement accounts on 9/8, I try to peg the S&P as closely as possible, I don’t see us going back in anytime soon, way to volatile for my liking. I also think supply chain woes will hold back holiday spending. I’d like to see a 15-20% correction over the next couple quarters.
 
I went to holding cash in all retirement accounts on 9/8, I try to peg the S&P as closely as possible, I don’t see us going back in anytime soon, way to volatile for my liking. I also think supply chain woes will hold back holiday spending. I’d like to see a 15-20% correction over the next couple quarters.

Agreed. I am scaling back in but only 50/50 atm.
 
You guys still in $MVIS? At that critical level...even I may buy some shares.

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I am with small buy order at 9.95, price action just makes no sense to me. Back in Feb when the first announced progress on their LiDAR A-sample price rocketed to ATHs, only to crash back down on no news, then rip a couple more times on very little news and now tanking on no news. This has potential to drop back to around $7 though if something doesn't change soon
 
You guys still in $MVIS? At that critical level...even I may buy some shares.

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Sold that little mini pop this morning because it’s been on a bit of a morning manipulation trend. Saved myself a little money but now I’m not sure what’s a good entry. $10 was breached for a moment this afternoon.
 
I am with small buy order at 9.95, price action just makes no sense to me. Back in Feb when the first announced progress on their LiDAR A-sample price rocketed to ATHs, only to crash back down on no news, then rip a couple more times on very little news and now tanking on no news. This has potential to drop back to around $7 though if something doesn't change soon
They’re talking on the stock boards like they’re having a hard time selling the company right now. Everyone seems to be in for the buyout.
 
They’re talking on the stock boards like they’re having a hard time selling the company right now. Everyone seems to be in for the buyout.
ST and Reddit haha that's why the market behaves so irrationally these days. I personally don't think there is going to be a BO now but feel like once they sign a partner or a few customers there won't be enough rocket emojis. Something has to happen soon, CEO and BoD compensation package is comprised of shares, in fact, many on that board are losing money on PPS under $14, somethings brewing and they know it.

edit: sell of AR vertical still seems highly probable to me however, not sure why MSFT hasn't bought that yet but they may very well once all the federal money starts pouring in with these IVAS contracts, who knows
 
Tech futures...above $15k bullish, below $14,800 bearish. $15k rejected twice, very heavy today.

S&P chart looks better but this chart looks like impending doom. Every time I think that the market is going to fall off a cliff it rips higher and I am left wondering why didn't I buy the dip.

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It tough to be bullish going into next week, monthlies expire next week which is always volatile.

Tech rejected $15k twice and ended week with back to back hammers. Biggest OI for tech $QQQ is $355 puts next week.

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I’m buying some coin calls- earnings Nov 10th. Looking at nov 12 $260 calls. With huge retail interest in shib - I think they will report decent earnings and raise guidance significantly for the foreseeable future. Bought 5 calls at $13 a piece.
 
Stopped out of MVIS. Looks rough. You guys still holding?
I'm holding per @metwannabe 's advice Haha I've got 1000 shares and I'm going down with the ship or going to score a touchdown. I'm way in the green on this one playing with house money.

BTW, that gravestone doji from the other day looking strong.
 
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