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The June Thread 2021

Dewpoint Dan said:
Kind of odd considering no location in SD or NE has been that warm yet ND has ?
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Not entirely, just gives credit to the idea that that level of heat can occur that far north. I'd be willing to guess SD and NE are prob 119 or 118 for their records and given the sparse population I bet 121 has been missed before
 
SD said:
Not entirely, just gives credit to the idea that that level of heat can occur that far north. I'd be willing to guess SD and NE are prob 119 or 118 for their records and given the sparse population I bet 121 has been missed before
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120 in South Dakota and 118 in Nebraska .
 
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Wish Phil @pcbjr would come back. I realize you were upset about a simple (attached) post being deleted. But, dude get over it. Time to come back, Sir. Miss your wiki contributions and stories. ❤️ You
(not in a gay way) not that there’s any thing wrong with that.
 
SD said:
Rah afd setting the stage for a dud. We can't have the prefrontal trough convection Thursday push an ofb to our south or we will likely see the heavy rain to our north and south with a minimum for us
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True looks suspect but that at least initial batch of showers and storms should give us an inch or two then we wait and see if crapvection screws us but the front should be enough forcing and it enters around peak heating Friday 1-2pm ish which would fire the big stuff again over whatever area the front is over .. we will see .. I’m interested in seeing what HRRR shows when in range
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
True looks suspect but that at least initial batch of showers and storms should give us an inch or two then we wait and see if crapvection screws us but the front should be enough forcing and it enters around peak heating Friday 1-2pm ish which would fire the big stuff again over whatever area the front is over .. we will see .. I’m interested in seeing what HRRR shows when in range
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The 6z 12k kind of sucks tbh the 3k was a little better, the 0z cams weren't as aggressive with the prefrontal convection and outflow push. We have taken big Ls in this setup while Roxboro and fayetteville have gotten dumped on. It's a decent setup for a widespread .5-.75 but the corridors of the multi inch stuff needs to be ironed out. These summer fronts are a lot of hand wringing, if we miss out tomorrow and get something pitiful like .25 with no good rain chances until the end of next week with ET maxed out, lower dews, lack of clouds we would get dry again fairly quick.
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
True looks suspect but that at least initial batch of showers and storms should give us an inch or two then we wait and see if crapvection screws us but the front should be enough forcing and it enters around peak heating Friday 1-2pm ish which would fire the big stuff again over whatever area the front is over .. we will see .. I’m interested in seeing what HRRR shows when in range
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The HRRR has be pretty good at giving the general idea of where the storms will pop.


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SD said:
You can see the skip developing lol
View attachment 85930
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Man, if this model can accurately nail down that little slice of min precip at 60 hours, I'll throw it some flowers. But it's showing it over us, so you know it's bound to be right.
 
Lickwx said:
Lytton canada topped out at 49.6c , possibly 50c today . Holy ---- , holy heck it’s record is about the same as Phoenix Arizona now. 50c temps are some of the rarest possible temps and only ever recorded in few places in earth such as Death Valley , Iraq , and Arizona . Literally that’s it and the Sahara of course. But freaking lush 50 degrees north of the pacific north west in Canada !!!!!!! My god ! I am at a loss of words .
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Yeah, Canada’s new record high set at Lytton (121F, breaking the old record of 113F prior to 2021) is hotter than the record high of all but four states!
 
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Sweet

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Dewpoint Dan said:
I'm just curious as to what made this heat wave so much hotter than all previous heatwaves.
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It's been unusually dry across the NW. Moisture soaks up the heat energy while dry grounds will quickly heat. Think desert. Florida lies along the same latitude as wastelands and deserts that are too far south to benefit from dynamical rain created by mid-latitude fronts. There's not much to initiate convection. S. Florida sees tropical rainfall cause it is between three bodies of water, but the abundant moisture prevents us from heating. The highest temp for my area was 100 or 101. Areas in the NW can see temperatures way above 100 cause they are elevated (high pressure has easier time compressing air), and areas to it's west experience dry conditions (Idaho, Western Montana).
 
@SD gfs looking toasty again, weird how models are now hugging some heat for us around the 10th and onwards . Hmmmm.
 
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