Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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I wonder what will actually verify because it keeps showing us that outlook only for everything to miss my location. #dome
Yeah this would be amazing in early January. Probably would still lead to mid 30s and drizzle, but I'd be interested anyway.This pattern is something I would love to see in winter, wow !! Quite the massive ridge in the PNW/B.C/into the NW territories, this H5 look doesn’t look like summer at all View attachment 85767
??Here we goView attachment 85778
I think you're really going to see this pattern repeating quite frequently as we go through fall and winter. I think it brings cold and dry, though.Yeah this would be amazing in early January. Probably would still lead to mid 30s and drizzle, but I'd be interested anyway.
Any tornadic?Sign me up!View attachment 85775
I’m surprised that TSA hasn’t issued a flood watch yet like OUN has given these totals. It looks like the first round is gonna move in overnight tonight. Nighttime storms are my jam.
Looks like mostly a wind and hail threat around my area.Any tornadic?
Summer = skipped
Yeah... Some areas could have lows in the 50s again during the 4th of July weekend. RefreshingSummer = skipped
Classic July we can’t escape that look forever, that look is amazing for mountain > western Piedmont convection tho, just like last July1 week later
View attachment 85790
At some point the heat building out west has got to release and come east… when it does we’re going to be in for a true heat wave. It does appear that the overall pattern for the season suggests that it wouldn’t be an extended period, but a 4-6 day period of 95-100 degree heat would certainly seem probably. It is pretty amazing to me that at this point I’ve only had eight 90+ degree days and only 3 in June (there are no forecasted highs of 90 the rest of June at the moment). It seems like most of last decade I would have easily seen at least 15 by the end of June.1 week later
View attachment 85790
Yeah but what if its not released until Sept or Oct ?At some point the heat building out west has got to release and come east… when it does we’re going to be in for a true heat wave. It does appear that the overall pattern for the season suggests that it wouldn’t be an extended period, but a 4-6 day period of 95-100 degree heat would certainly seem probably. It is pretty amazing to me that at this point I’ve only had eight 90+ degree days and only 3 in June (there are no forecasted highs of 90 the rest of June at the moment). It seems like most of last decade I would have easily seen at least 15 by the end of June.
Terrible question, it takes days to a weeks (perhaps a couple) for a H5 pattern to change, not monthsYeah but what if its not released until Sept or Oct ?
No such thing as a terrible question.Terrible question, it takes days to a weeks (perhaps a couple) for a H5 pattern to change, not months
Yeah, I think the bigger issue is, where does the core of the heat go. There’s a good possibility that the highest heights get forced north causing the Great Lakes region and Northeast to bake. As far as September and October, by then the STJ should becoming a much bigger player with the Neutral ENSO and should help set us up with a nice autumn.Terrible question, it takes days to a weeks (perhaps a couple) for a H5 pattern to change, not months
Unless it's winter and we have a SER and western trough and that takes months to break down!!Terrible question, it takes days to a weeks (perhaps a couple) for a H5 pattern to change, not months
Or the cold rain generator, like the -NAOUnless it's winter and we have a SER and western trough and that takes months to break down!!
Okay at least Gfs got rid of that ridiculous heat in the long range .. it’s just constant barrages of fronts and cut offs .. probably some severe weather mixed in next weekend
True although I know a lot of people climo rain comes from tropical systems down the road and that’s how they avoid big drought … but if we have the troughs then I suppose rain will come with themLet's hope this pattern continues into peak hurricane season so we keep troughiness over the east coast.
I'm going to make a bold prediction and say that DFW won't see a single 100*F+ day this year (the average is 20 days).
I hope I'm wrong.