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The June Thread 2021

Man, keep those analogs in august and September see we don’t catch us a hurricane! 96-99 had many land falling storms for North Carolina .
Yep this NW ridge pattern does help build a down stream east coast hurricane pattern. This weekend into early next week would be wide open for a hurricane on the east coast
 
What the 850s look like 4 days before start of a major heatwave on average . How far are we from this ? Ridge axis is far north just like now , all we need is that ridge to shift over towards Ontario . Very much looks like what we have now but with things shifted east, notice another ridge on the east coast. We have that now but it’s not as far NE , all it would take again is a shift east with things for this to come to fruition.

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I cannot even begin to phantom what implications that will have the electrical grids out there. Not to mention fires and people just downright overheating. They are not used to heat like that in The PNW.
Well that is east of the Cascades, where it does regularly get pretty warm. If this were Seattle or Vancouver, it would be crazy.
ETA: Yes it is still crazy considering the duration and that it would blow away their previous record.
 
Well that is east of the Cascades, where it does regularly get pretty warm. If this were Seattle or Vancouver, it would be crazy.
Both Seattle and Vancouver are threatening their all time record highs too. Seattle is forecast multiple days over 100.
 
Bonnie and Irene. This period made a young weather weenie think canes were a common thing
Seems every 3-4 decades NC gets a decade with a lot of land falling storms . The 1950s were another busy decade , the 1990s too. Even prior to 1996 the 90s had featured multiple storms for NC such as Emily . Florida does the same thing , it’s decade was the 1940s. Haven’t followed its climo tho not sure what other decades were busy.
 
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And I thought that things started drying out around here by late June into July. @Brent is gonna need a boat if this model verified. LolView attachment 85754

Lol the entire forecast is cooler than most of the last 10 days has been(minus what happened Monday and Tuesday)

I also can't believe we are apparently below normal on rainfall though here(all that rain we had already?? Lol)
 
Get training and over performing it could get ugly.
Already got a flood watch issued here until Sunday afternoon and the Nam and the Hrrr both show swaths of 4-6 inches of rain in and around OKC tomorrow-tomorrow night. This doesn’t even count what looks like more rain/storm chances each day next week. I know some areas just west of here are under severe drought, so this will be some good relief for them. However, it definitely does not take much to flood in this part of the country.
 
Upcoming pattern looks messy with the models handling the PNW differently and the results for us range from another front passage and cooler weather to the front running out of gas and washing out and we see our first extended period of 90s. Typically would favor the front moving in and dying but with such an anomalous ridge in the NW I'm not sure.

12z icon would certainly favor the 0z euro with the ridge staying in the NW and a trough loading up in the lakes moving into the east.
 
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Not sure who wrote this at FFC but clearly they were way off. Current dewpoint is in the mid 60s, not the low to mid 50s !20210625_130741.jpg
 
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