May 2021 Discussion Thread

[cd2play]

end of the euro was close to putting us back in a closed H5 ridge

In other words Memorial Day weekend will be HOT!

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Today is the first day I’ve really felt that summerish feel in the air as soon as I walked outside not to long ago, it’s ------- amazing

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Nam looks surprisingly Good for sunday

 

[Myfrotho704_]

No wonder there’s some solid CU, as usual HRRR was to low with dewpoints

 

[SD]

No wonder there’s some solid CU, as usual HRRR was to low with dewpoints View attachment 84134View attachment 84135

Hrrr super mixing this afternoon

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Hrrr super mixing this afternoon
View attachment 84136

If it’s Doing that already and way to much, it’ll probably suck for storms next week

 

[LickWx]

If it’s Doing that already and way to much, it’ll probably suck for storms next week

Means we could get hotter though.

 

[SD]

If it’s Doing that already and way to much, it’ll probably suck for storms next week

Yeah probably but going to not do a good job until day of unless we have a good trigger

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I expected better

 

[SD]

I expected better View attachment 84137View attachment 84138View attachment 84139

Ehh icon runs low on its qpf not concerned

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Gonna retrograde right into my all time torch favorite backwards L look lol

 

[SD]

Gonna retrograde right into my all time torch favorite backwards L look lol View attachment 84141

Be careful with the ridge in the Canadian prairies and in Greenland here

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Be careful with the ridge in the Canadian prairies and in Greenland here

Yep could quickly CAD us or bring a nearby backdoor

 

[LickWx]

Yep could quickly CAD us or bring a nearby backdoor

Which is exactly what will happen .

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Oh god

 

[Metwannabe]

Abnormal is being conservative eastern half of NC, it's dry

 

[LickWx]

Abnormal is being conservative eastern half of NC, it's dry
View attachment 84145

That’s unfortunate , Orlando may also be having its driest may since the 1800s! God dang! I had a feeling we would run the risk of being dry after this winters super -NAO. Seems -NAO winters lead to dry summers ( 2009-2010) . Perhaps we can pull up more stats to see if my hunch has any merit. Csa Mediterranean climate of Raleigh 2021 here come . We would not even need to have our driest summer ever to have this year qualify as “ Mediterranean “ I’m pretty sure .

 

[Myfrotho704_]

GFS is starting to adjust west with the general longwave pattern after next week starting to run the table on another torch pattern

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

GFS is starting to adjust west with the general longwave pattern after next week starting to run the table on another torch pattern

True the heat presented on the Gfs tho is pretty basic stuff .. don’t even see 90s past this heat wave we have coming up .. should mean more opportunities for rain cooling us down

 

[Chazwin]

That’s unfortunate , Orlando may also be having its driest may since the 1800s! God dang! I had a feeling we would run the risk of being dry after this winters super -NAO. Seems -NAO winters lead to dry summers ( 2009-2010) . Perhaps we can pull up more stats to see if my hunch has any merit. Csa Mediterranean climate of Raleigh 2021 here come . We would not even need to have our driest summer ever to have this year qualify as “ Mediterranean “ I’m pretty sure .

Was summer 2010 dry your way? CLT metro was hot that summer, but we had fairly consistent thunderstorm activity and precip was around average. Also from what I’ve read NOAA now does think the NIÑA is breaking down and we are likely headed to neutral ENSO through at least next winter...that should help keep most of the SE out of any severe long term drought. If we were going into a 2nd year NIÑA, it could get ugly.

Was summer 2010 dry your way? CLT metro was hot that summer, but we had fairly consistent thunderstorm activity and precip was around average. Also from what I’ve read NOAA now does think the NIÑA is breaking down and we are likely headed to neutral ENSO through at least next winter...that should help keep most of the SE out of any severe long term drought. If we were going into a 2nd year NIÑA, it could get ugly.[/QUOTE]