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Pattern Caperil 2021

NickyBGuarantee said:
*finds one frame of something opposite of what I say every time u get the chance* .... for the general consensus it’s looking like mid 80s most of the model run when it’s warm .. maybe a 90 pops up one day in a couple random cities (urban heat island effect ?) but even as u can see in ur pic most everyone is mid upper 80s
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Typically short range models (HRRR specifically) come in 4-6 degrees warmer then the globals. Euro is showing 85-87 next week, you can bet on that being a bit warmer 55B1EAC6-77DC-4E06-9213-5FD0B044C1B4.png
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
*finds one frame of something opposite of what I say every time u get the chance* .... for the general consensus it’s looking like mid 80s most of the model run when it’s warm .. maybe a 90 pops up one day in a couple random cities (urban heat island effect ?) but even as u can see in ur pic most everyone is mid upper 80s
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Definitely waiting and looking forward to this ! FB25C845-0C7B-405A-BD26-82A4D45AC631.png38BDB51E-BE45-444D-9654-77A0E5AAEED0.png
 
Are any of those higher cloudtops in SC going to make it here or are we stuck with strat drizzle with nothing to show. If strat drizzle all day I need to go water my flower bed and shrubs.
 
Warmer air very slowly creeping northward. Greenwood has switched to SE winds and temps approaching 60. We are up to 54 here and slowly rising. 60 degree dewpoint air not to far south now in CAE and ATL and slowly coming north. May get a strong storm later if this keeps up.
 
Am I reading the Euro right, in that it doesn't have the mid-late week system getting here until Saturday/Sunday? I noticed the GFS keeps slowing down the system (was Wed, now it's Thursday, and getting pushed later in the day). Perhaps the GFS is gradually caving to the Euro.
 
JHS said:
Warmer air very slowly creeping northward. Greenwood has switched to SE winds and temps approaching 60. We are up to 54 here and slowly rising. 60 degree dewpoint air not to far south now in CAE and ATL and slowly coming north. May get a strong storm later if this keeps up.
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Yeah the temperatures here to the SE of Charlotte are closing in on 60 with a SE wind. I would definitely keep an eye out along this wedge boundary this evening as the energy comes through... the HRRR has been hinting at that.
 
DFW's latest 1st 90*F high on record is 6/6. That same season also had only 1 100*F+ day.

I pray we don't make a run for those records.

EDIT: The average first 90*F+ day is 4/19, BTW.
 
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